Polymarket traders are pricing a trader consensus around WTI Crude Oil holding below $70 per barrel in April 2026, with implied probabilities favoring the $60-70 range at roughly 45%, reflecting ample global supply and softening demand growth. Current WTI futures for late 2026 trade near $65, in mild contango, signaling expectations of steady US shale output near 13.5 million bpd and OPEC+ discipline amid non-OPEC gains from Brazil and Guyana. Key downward pressures include China's economic slowdown curbing imports and accelerating EV adoption, while upside risks stem from Middle East tensions or US recession delays. Watch the November 30 OPEC+ meeting and December EIA STEO for supply revisions that could shift market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日↑ $150
51%
↑ 140ドル
52%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
52%
↑ $110
52%
↑ 100ドル
51%
↑ 90ドル
51%
↓ 80ドル
94%
↓ 70ドル
94%
↓60ドル
97%
↓ 50ドル
97%
↓ 40ドル
97%
↓ 30ドル
97%
↓ 20ドル
97%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $150
51%
↑ 140ドル
52%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
52%
↑ $110
52%
↑ 100ドル
51%
↑ 90ドル
51%
↓ 80ドル
94%
↓ 70ドル
94%
↓60ドル
97%
↓ 50ドル
97%
↓ 40ドル
97%
↓ 30ドル
97%
↓ 20ドル
97%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a trader consensus around WTI Crude Oil holding below $70 per barrel in April 2026, with implied probabilities favoring the $60-70 range at roughly 45%, reflecting ample global supply and softening demand growth. Current WTI futures for late 2026 trade near $65, in mild contango, signaling expectations of steady US shale output near 13.5 million bpd and OPEC+ discipline amid non-OPEC gains from Brazil and Guyana. Key downward pressures include China's economic slowdown curbing imports and accelerating EV adoption, while upside risks stem from Middle East tensions or US recession delays. Watch the November 30 OPEC+ meeting and December EIA STEO for supply revisions that could shift market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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