Polymarket traders price a 17% implied probability for silver (SI) June settlement below $50, narrowly ahead of the 14.6% for $50-$60 and 13.9% for $70-$80, capturing tight competition driven by macroeconomic crosswinds. Spot silver traded around $29.75 last week, dipping 1.2% amid dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields climbing above 4.1% ahead of this week's CPI and PPI releases, which could recalibrate Fed rate cut odds. Bullish industrial demand from solar photovoltaic expansion and a stretched silver-gold ratio near 88:1 support moderate upside potential, but rising mine output and China's muted stimulus response temper aggressive rallies, leaving sub-$50 as fragile consensus amid volatile risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日50ドル未満 17%
$50~$60 14.5%
$70~$80 13.8%
$60-$70 13.2%
$422,671 Vol.
$422,671 Vol.
50ドル未満
17%
$50~$60
15%
$60-$70
13%
$70~$80
14%
80~90ドル
10%
90~100ドル
10%
$100〜$115
8%
115ドル超
12%
50ドル未満 17%
$50~$60 14.5%
$70~$80 13.8%
$60-$70 13.2%
$422,671 Vol.
$422,671 Vol.
50ドル未満
17%
$50~$60
15%
$60-$70
13%
$70~$80
14%
80~90ドル
10%
90~100ドル
10%
$100〜$115
8%
115ドル超
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 17% implied probability for silver (SI) June settlement below $50, narrowly ahead of the 14.6% for $50-$60 and 13.9% for $70-$80, capturing tight competition driven by macroeconomic crosswinds. Spot silver traded around $29.75 last week, dipping 1.2% amid dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields climbing above 4.1% ahead of this week's CPI and PPI releases, which could recalibrate Fed rate cut odds. Bullish industrial demand from solar photovoltaic expansion and a stretched silver-gold ratio near 88:1 support moderate upside potential, but rising mine output and China's muted stimulus response temper aggressive rallies, leaving sub-$50 as fragile consensus amid volatile risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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