Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Silver (SI) futures will settle below $75 in March, anchored by the continuous contract's March 31 settlement at $74.919—below the key threshold despite a sharp late-month rally from mid-March lows around $67. This positioning stems from a broader precious metals correction after silver's nominal all-time high of $121.67 on January 29, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance holding fed funds at 3.5%-3.75% with just one 2026 rate cut projected amid persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices. Profit-taking post-speculative surge and CME margin hikes exacerbated the 40%+ drawdown. While record industrial demand signals deficits, macroeconomic headwinds dominate; a surprise policy pivot or geopolitical escalation could challenge this near-certainty if resolution hinges on final SIH26 data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日75ドル未満 100.0%
75〜80ドル <1%
$80～$85 <1%
85〜90ドル <1%
$333,686 Vol.
$333,686 Vol.
2026/03/31
75ドル未満
はい
75〜80ドル
いいえ
$80～$85
いいえ
85〜90ドル
いいえ
$90〜$95
いいえ
$95〜$100
いいえ
$100〜$105
いいえ
$105-$110
いいえ
$110〜$115
いいえ
115ドル超
いいえ
75ドル未満 100.0%
75〜80ドル <1%
$80～$85 <1%
85〜90ドル <1%
$333,686 Vol.
$333,686 Vol.
2026/03/31
75ドル未満
$50,319 Vol.
はい
75〜80ドル
$30,122 Vol.
いいえ
$80～$85
$13,253 Vol.
いいえ
85〜90ドル
$9,607 Vol.
いいえ
$90〜$95
$22,835 Vol.
いいえ
$95〜$100
$42,054 Vol.
いいえ
$100〜$105
$33,217 Vol.
いいえ
$105-$110
$40,275 Vol.
いいえ
$110〜$115
$29,126 Vol.
いいえ
115ドル超
$62,879 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Silver (SI) futures will settle below $75 in March, anchored by the continuous contract's March 31 settlement at $74.919—below the key threshold despite a sharp late-month rally from mid-March lows around $67. This positioning stems from a broader precious metals correction after silver's nominal all-time high of $121.67 on January 29, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance holding fed funds at 3.5%-3.75% with just one 2026 rate cut projected amid persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices. Profit-taking post-speculative surge and CME margin hikes exacerbated the 40%+ drawdown. While record industrial demand signals deficits, macroeconomic headwinds dominate; a surprise policy pivot or geopolitical escalation could challenge this near-certainty if resolution hinges on final SIH26 data.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
音量
$333,686終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Silver (SI) futures will settle below $75 in March, anchored by the continuous contract's March 31 settlement at $74.919—below the key threshold despite a sharp late-month rally from mid-March lows around $67. This positioning stems from a broader precious metals correction after silver's nominal all-time high of $121.67 on January 29, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance holding fed funds at 3.5%-3.75% with just one 2026 rate cut projected amid persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices. Profit-taking post-speculative surge and CME margin hikes exacerbated the 40%+ drawdown. While record industrial demand signals deficits, macroeconomic headwinds dominate; a surprise policy pivot or geopolitical escalation could challenge this near-certainty if resolution hinges on final SIH26 data.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
音量
$333,686終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Silver (SI) futures will settle below $75 in March, anchored by the continuous contract's March 31 settlement at $74.919—below the key threshold despite a sharp late-month rally from mid-March lows around $67. This positioning stems from a broader precious metals correction after silver's nominal all-time high of $121.67 on January 29, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance holding fed funds at 3.5%-3.75% with just one 2026 rate cut projected amid persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices. Profit-taking post-speculative surge and CME margin hikes exacerbated the 40%+ drawdown. While record industrial demand signals deficits, macroeconomic headwinds dominate; a surprise policy pivot or geopolitical escalation could challenge this near-certainty if resolution hinges on final SIH26 data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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