Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for silver (SI) futures closing above key thresholds by end-June, with spot prices lingering near $29.65/oz amid a tug-of-war between industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Robust solar panel and electronics consumption—up 25% YoY—supports a bullish bias, bolstered by gold's record highs and 55% odds of a September Fed rate cut per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD. However, surging COMEX inventories (over 320 million oz) and hawkish FOMC rhetoric have capped gains, with recent trading volume spiking 30% on position squaring. Watch Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing for volatility; a print below 2.6% core could propel prices toward $30.50 resistance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$196,293 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$140
7%
120ドル
12%
110ドル
16%
100ドル
22%
95ドル
24%
90ドル
25%
85ドル
32%
80ドル
46%
75ドル
53%
70ドル
56%
$65
80%
60ドル
74%
$196,293 Vol.
$140
$21,384 Vol.
7%
120ドル
$10,107 Vol.
12%
110ドル
$5,088 Vol.
16%
100ドル
$3,387 Vol.
22%
95ドル
$23,532 Vol.
24%
90ドル
$47,573 Vol.
25%
85ドル
$40,795 Vol.
32%
80ドル
$16,638 Vol.
46%
75ドル
$0 Vol.
53%
70ドル
$17,161 Vol.
56%
$65
$4,692 Vol.
80%
60ドル
$5,936 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for silver (SI) futures closing above key thresholds by end-June, with spot prices lingering near $29.65/oz amid a tug-of-war between industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Robust solar panel and electronics consumption—up 25% YoY—supports a bullish bias, bolstered by gold's record highs and 55% odds of a September Fed rate cut per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD. However, surging COMEX inventories (over 320 million oz) and hawkish FOMC rhetoric have capped gains, with recent trading volume spiking 30% on position squaring. Watch Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing for volatility; a print below 2.6% core could propel prices toward $30.50 resistance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$196,293終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for silver (SI) futures closing above key thresholds by end-June, with spot prices lingering near $29.65/oz amid a tug-of-war between industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Robust solar panel and electronics consumption—up 25% YoY—supports a bullish bias, bolstered by gold's record highs and 55% odds of a September Fed rate cut per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD. However, surging COMEX inventories (over 320 million oz) and hawkish FOMC rhetoric have capped gains, with recent trading volume spiking 30% on position squaring. Watch Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing for volatility; a print below 2.6% core could propel prices toward $30.50 resistance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
音量
$196,293終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for silver (SI) futures closing above key thresholds by end-June, with spot prices lingering near $29.65/oz amid a tug-of-war between industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Robust solar panel and electronics consumption—up 25% YoY—supports a bullish bias, bolstered by gold's record highs and 55% odds of a September Fed rate cut per CME FedWatch, weakening the USD. However, surging COMEX inventories (over 320 million oz) and hawkish FOMC rhetoric have capped gains, with recent trading volume spiking 30% on position squaring. Watch Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing for volatility; a print below 2.6% core could propel prices toward $30.50 resistance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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