Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
>99% 確率
$23,844 Vol.
$23,844 Vol.
2026/07/27
はい
>99% 確率
$23,844 Vol.
$23,844 Vol.
2026/07/27
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
音量
$23,844終了日
2026/07/27マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,844終了日
2026/07/27マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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