Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Google 71%
バイトダンス 23.8%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,931 Vol.
$26,931 Vol.

71%

バイトダンス
24%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

カンディンスキー
<1%

テンセント
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

アリババ/アリババ-ATH
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Pixverse
<1%

Runway
<1%

KlingAI
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Pika
<1%
Google 71%
バイトダンス 23.8%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,931 Vol.
$26,931 Vol.

71%

バイトダンス
24%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

カンディンスキー
<1%

テンセント
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

アリババ/アリババ-ATH
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Pixverse
<1%

Runway
<1%

KlingAI
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Pika
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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