ChatGPT commands a 98.8% implied probability as the top free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on April 3, reflecting trader consensus on its dominant download velocity and user retention following a mid-March reclaim of the #1 spot after Anthropic's Claude briefly surged amid OpenAI's controversial military contract affiliation. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 model rollout—boasting advanced computer use, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities—has fueled renewed adoption, solidifying its lead over rivals like Claude (now #2) and Google Gemini. With NCAA March Madness finals and MLB season underway, a dramatic sports app spike or unexpected Claude feature drop could challenge this positioning, though App Store rankings prioritize sustained momentum over one-off surges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ChatGPT 98.8%
Claude by Anthropic <1%
The White House <1%
Google Gemini <1%
$13,353 Vol.
$13,353 Vol.
ChatGPT
99%
Claude by Anthropic
1%
The White House
1%
Google Gemini
<1%
Threads
<1%
MLB
<1%
<1%
NCAA March Madness Live
<1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%
ChatGPT 98.8%
Claude by Anthropic <1%
The White House <1%
Google Gemini <1%
$13,353 Vol.
$13,353 Vol.
ChatGPT
99%
Claude by Anthropic
1%
The White House
1%
Google Gemini
<1%
Threads
<1%
MLB
<1%
<1%
NCAA March Madness Live
<1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT commands a 98.8% implied probability as the top free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on April 3, reflecting trader consensus on its dominant download velocity and user retention following a mid-March reclaim of the #1 spot after Anthropic's Claude briefly surged amid OpenAI's controversial military contract affiliation. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 model rollout—boasting advanced computer use, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities—has fueled renewed adoption, solidifying its lead over rivals like Claude (now #2) and Google Gemini. With NCAA March Madness finals and MLB season underway, a dramatic sports app spike or unexpected Claude feature drop could challenge this positioning, though App Store rankings prioritize sustained momentum over one-off surges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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