Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 83% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay stems primarily from Tesla's (TSLA) stock hovering around $290—needing a 38% surge to hit $400 by year-end—despite post-election optimism tied to Elon's Trump support, as robotaxi delays and FSD regulatory hurdles temper gains. Dogecoin lingers near $0.20, far from $0.50, with no sustained Elon-fueled pump amid broader crypto caution. xAI's May $6B Series B satisfies its leg, but SpaceX's Starship faces FAA delays for IFT-5, with orbital success (defined as payload insertion) unproven after prior explosions. Key catalysts: Tesla's Q4 guidance and Starship launch timeline, where any slips reinforce the parlay's slim 17% Yes odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
はい
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 83% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay stems primarily from Tesla's (TSLA) stock hovering around $290—needing a 38% surge to hit $400 by year-end—despite post-election optimism tied to Elon's Trump support, as robotaxi delays and FSD regulatory hurdles temper gains. Dogecoin lingers near $0.20, far from $0.50, with no sustained Elon-fueled pump amid broader crypto caution. xAI's May $6B Series B satisfies its leg, but SpaceX's Starship faces FAA delays for IFT-5, with orbital success (defined as payload insertion) unproven after prior explosions. Key catalysts: Tesla's Q4 guidance and Starship launch timeline, where any slips reinforce the parlay's slim 17% Yes odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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