NEW
Feb 28, 2026
25%以上
$796 Vol.
89%
30%以上
$2,445 Vol.
83%
40%以上
$2,718 Vol.
45%
50%以上
$95 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
作成日: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$6,053終了日
Jun 30, 2026作成日時
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...$6,053 Vol.
25%以上
$796 Vol.
89%
30%以上
$2,445 Vol.
83%
40%以上
$2,718 Vol.
45%
50%以上
$95 Vol.
24%
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでxAI Grokスコアを獲得しますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25%以上" at 89%, followed by "30%以上" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
"6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでxAI Grokスコアを獲得しますか?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.
To trade on "6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでxAI Grokスコアを獲得しますか?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでxAI Grokスコアを獲得しますか?" is "25%以上" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30%以上" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでxAI Grokスコアを獲得しますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions