Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Elon Musk's tweet total from March 24-31, 2026, with 320-339 (10.5%) and 340-359 (10.5%) leading, signaling expectations of 40-45 posts daily based on his 2024 average exceeding 50 tweets per day amid election spikes and product hype. Recent X data shows peaks over 100 daily during controversies like Tesla Robotaxi delays and SpaceX Starship tests, but lulls post-Trump victory suggest variability. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts—xAI Grok updates, DOGE government efficiency announcements, or Mars mission news—versus routine weeks hovering under 300; traders weigh his CEO role amplifying real-time cultural firestorms against burnout risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日320〜339 11%
340〜359 11%
360〜379 10%
280〜299 9%
$684,171 Vol.
$684,171 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120〜139
1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
1%
180~199
2%
200〜219
3%
220〜239
5%
240〜259
6%
260〜279
6%
280〜299
9%
300~319
9%
320〜339
11%
340〜359
11%
360〜379
10%
380〜399
8%
400〜419
5%
420〜439
4%
440〜459
4%
460〜479
3%
480~499
3%
500〜519
3%
520〜539
3%
540~559
2%
560~579
<1%
580件以上
<1%
320〜339 11%
340〜359 11%
360〜379 10%
280〜299 9%
$684,171 Vol.
$684,171 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120〜139
1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
1%
180~199
2%
200〜219
3%
220〜239
5%
240〜259
6%
260〜279
6%
280〜299
9%
300~319
9%
320〜339
11%
340〜359
11%
360〜379
10%
380〜399
8%
400〜419
5%
420〜439
4%
440〜459
4%
460〜479
3%
480~499
3%
500〜519
3%
520〜539
3%
540~559
2%
560~579
<1%
580件以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Elon Musk's tweet total from March 24-31, 2026, with 320-339 (10.5%) and 340-359 (10.5%) leading, signaling expectations of 40-45 posts daily based on his 2024 average exceeding 50 tweets per day amid election spikes and product hype. Recent X data shows peaks over 100 daily during controversies like Tesla Robotaxi delays and SpaceX Starship tests, but lulls post-Trump victory suggest variability. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts—xAI Grok updates, DOGE government efficiency announcements, or Mars mission news—versus routine weeks hovering under 300; traders weigh his CEO role amplifying real-time cultural firestorms against burnout risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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