Trader consensus on Polymarket favors CZ posting 20-39 times during March 24-31, 2026 (58% implied probability), reflecting his recent average of 3-5 X posts per day since prison release in September 2024, extrapolated to an 8-day span amid steady but non-explosive activity. The 40-59 range (27%) captures upside from occasional bursts tied to crypto market volatility or Giggle Academy updates, while lower odds for extremes like 200+ (15%) or under 20 (8.5%) stem from no signs of sustained high-volume tweeting or prolonged silence. Key drivers include his consistent engagement on blockchain policy and personal ventures, with no scheduled events that week altering baseline expectations from historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日20〜39 58%
40~59 27%
60〜79 18%
140~159 17%
<20
9%
20〜39
58%
40~59
27%
60〜79
18%
80〜99
15%
100〜119
17%
120〜139
17%
140~159
17%
160〜179
17%
180〜199
16%
200以上
15%
20〜39 58%
40~59 27%
60〜79 18%
140~159 17%
<20
9%
20〜39
58%
40~59
27%
60〜79
18%
80〜99
15%
100〜119
17%
120〜139
17%
140~159
17%
160〜179
17%
180〜199
16%
200以上
15%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors CZ posting 20-39 times during March 24-31, 2026 (58% implied probability), reflecting his recent average of 3-5 X posts per day since prison release in September 2024, extrapolated to an 8-day span amid steady but non-explosive activity. The 40-59 range (27%) captures upside from occasional bursts tied to crypto market volatility or Giggle Academy updates, while lower odds for extremes like 200+ (15%) or under 20 (8.5%) stem from no signs of sustained high-volume tweeting or prolonged silence. Key drivers include his consistent engagement on blockchain policy and personal ventures, with no scheduled events that week altering baseline expectations from historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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