The Commission of Fine Arts, featuring members appointed by President Trump, unanimously approved a 24-karat gold commemorative coin design bearing Trump's portrait on March 19, 2026, to mark America's semiquincentennial on July 4, invoking a Treasury workaround to the Thayer Amendment's ban on living persons on U.S. currency. However, with no subsequent announcements from the US Mint on production timelines, die preparation, or striking schedules as of mid-April, traders express skepticism about meeting the tight deadline, pricing "No" at 58% implied probability. A minor lawsuit filed in late March challenges the move but lacks impact so far, while historical Mint commemorative rollout patterns—often spanning 3-6 months—bolster doubts amid the 2.5-month window remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$12,103 Vol.
$12,103 Vol.
2026/07/04
はい
$12,103 Vol.
$12,103 Vol.
2026/07/04
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Commission of Fine Arts, featuring members appointed by President Trump, unanimously approved a 24-karat gold commemorative coin design bearing Trump's portrait on March 19, 2026, to mark America's semiquincentennial on July 4, invoking a Treasury workaround to the Thayer Amendment's ban on living persons on U.S. currency. However, with no subsequent announcements from the US Mint on production timelines, die preparation, or striking schedules as of mid-April, traders express skepticism about meeting the tight deadline, pricing "No" at 58% implied probability. A minor lawsuit filed in late March challenges the move but lacks impact so far, while historical Mint commemorative rollout patterns—often spanning 3-6 months—bolster doubts amid the 2.5-month window remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
音量
$12,103終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Commission of Fine Arts, featuring members appointed by President Trump, unanimously approved a 24-karat gold commemorative coin design bearing Trump's portrait on March 19, 2026, to mark America's semiquincentennial on July 4, invoking a Treasury workaround to the Thayer Amendment's ban on living persons on U.S. currency. However, with no subsequent announcements from the US Mint on production timelines, die preparation, or striking schedules as of mid-April, traders express skepticism about meeting the tight deadline, pricing "No" at 58% implied probability. A minor lawsuit filed in late March challenges the move but lacks impact so far, while historical Mint commemorative rollout patterns—often spanning 3-6 months—bolster doubts amid the 2.5-month window remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$12,103終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Commission of Fine Arts, featuring members appointed by President Trump, unanimously approved a 24-karat gold commemorative coin design bearing Trump's portrait on March 19, 2026, to mark America's semiquincentennial on July 4, invoking a Treasury workaround to the Thayer Amendment's ban on living persons on U.S. currency. However, with no subsequent announcements from the US Mint on production timelines, die preparation, or striking schedules as of mid-April, traders express skepticism about meeting the tight deadline, pricing "No" at 58% implied probability. A minor lawsuit filed in late March challenges the move but lacks impact so far, while historical Mint commemorative rollout patterns—often spanning 3-6 months—bolster doubts amid the 2.5-month window remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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