Keir Starmer's position as UK Prime Minister remains secure under Labour's 174-seat parliamentary majority, insulating him from immediate no-confidence threats despite a post-budget slump in public support. Recent unpopularity stems from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 Autumn Statement, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and cut winter fuel payments for most pensioners, sparking by-election losses in Runcorn and Helsby to Reform UK and independents in St Helens. Polling averages now show Labour at around 27%, neck-and-neck with Reform, amid ongoing rows over a gifts scandal and the two-child benefit cap rebellion by 47 MPs. No formal leadership challenge has emerged, but upcoming welfare votes and May 2025 local elections could test party unity and amplify pressure for policy shifts or snap election speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$10,121,823 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
3月31日
1%
4月30日
7%
6月30日
45%
12月31日
68%
$10,121,823 Vol.
3月31日
$785,230 Vol.
1%
4月30日
$67,175 Vol.
7%
6月30日
$1,284,900 Vol.
45%
12月31日
$800,402 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's position as UK Prime Minister remains secure under Labour's 174-seat parliamentary majority, insulating him from immediate no-confidence threats despite a post-budget slump in public support. Recent unpopularity stems from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 Autumn Statement, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and cut winter fuel payments for most pensioners, sparking by-election losses in Runcorn and Helsby to Reform UK and independents in St Helens. Polling averages now show Labour at around 27%, neck-and-neck with Reform, amid ongoing rows over a gifts scandal and the two-child benefit cap rebellion by 47 MPs. No formal leadership challenge has emerged, but upcoming welfare votes and May 2025 local elections could test party unity and amplify pressure for policy shifts or snap election speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
音量
$10,121,823終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's position as UK Prime Minister remains secure under Labour's 174-seat parliamentary majority, insulating him from immediate no-confidence threats despite a post-budget slump in public support. Recent unpopularity stems from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 Autumn Statement, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and cut winter fuel payments for most pensioners, sparking by-election losses in Runcorn and Helsby to Reform UK and independents in St Helens. Polling averages now show Labour at around 27%, neck-and-neck with Reform, amid ongoing rows over a gifts scandal and the two-child benefit cap rebellion by 47 MPs. No formal leadership challenge has emerged, but upcoming welfare votes and May 2025 local elections could test party unity and amplify pressure for policy shifts or snap election speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$10,121,823終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's position as UK Prime Minister remains secure under Labour's 174-seat parliamentary majority, insulating him from immediate no-confidence threats despite a post-budget slump in public support. Recent unpopularity stems from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 Autumn Statement, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and cut winter fuel payments for most pensioners, sparking by-election losses in Runcorn and Helsby to Reform UK and independents in St Helens. Polling averages now show Labour at around 27%, neck-and-neck with Reform, amid ongoing rows over a gifts scandal and the two-child benefit cap rebellion by 47 MPs. No formal leadership challenge has emerged, but upcoming welfare votes and May 2025 local elections could test party unity and amplify pressure for policy shifts or snap election speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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