Keir Starmer's Labour government enjoys a commanding parliamentary majority from its July 2024 landslide victory, making removal via no-confidence vote or snap election highly unlikely before the 2029 general election deadline absent resignation or extraordinary circumstances. Recent drivers of trader caution include Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget imposing employer national insurance hikes and trimming winter fuel payments for 10 million pensioners, igniting the largest Labour rebellion in decades—over 50 MPs defied the whip, though Starmer secured victories through concessions. Polls reflect a sharp Labour slump, with Reform UK surging under Nigel Farage, but fragmented opposition limits threats. Upcoming local elections in May 2025 and welfare bill votes could heighten pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$10,140,049 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
3月31日
1%
4月30日
6%
6月30日
44%
12月31日
67%
$10,140,049 Vol.
3月31日
$790,692 Vol.
1%
4月30日
$69,691 Vol.
6%
6月30日
$1,289,067 Vol.
44%
12月31日
$806,483 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government enjoys a commanding parliamentary majority from its July 2024 landslide victory, making removal via no-confidence vote or snap election highly unlikely before the 2029 general election deadline absent resignation or extraordinary circumstances. Recent drivers of trader caution include Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget imposing employer national insurance hikes and trimming winter fuel payments for 10 million pensioners, igniting the largest Labour rebellion in decades—over 50 MPs defied the whip, though Starmer secured victories through concessions. Polls reflect a sharp Labour slump, with Reform UK surging under Nigel Farage, but fragmented opposition limits threats. Upcoming local elections in May 2025 and welfare bill votes could heighten pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
音量
$10,140,049終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government enjoys a commanding parliamentary majority from its July 2024 landslide victory, making removal via no-confidence vote or snap election highly unlikely before the 2029 general election deadline absent resignation or extraordinary circumstances. Recent drivers of trader caution include Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget imposing employer national insurance hikes and trimming winter fuel payments for 10 million pensioners, igniting the largest Labour rebellion in decades—over 50 MPs defied the whip, though Starmer secured victories through concessions. Polls reflect a sharp Labour slump, with Reform UK surging under Nigel Farage, but fragmented opposition limits threats. Upcoming local elections in May 2025 and welfare bill votes could heighten pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$10,140,049終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's Labour government enjoys a commanding parliamentary majority from its July 2024 landslide victory, making removal via no-confidence vote or snap election highly unlikely before the 2029 general election deadline absent resignation or extraordinary circumstances. Recent drivers of trader caution include Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget imposing employer national insurance hikes and trimming winter fuel payments for 10 million pensioners, igniting the largest Labour rebellion in decades—over 50 MPs defied the whip, though Starmer secured victories through concessions. Polls reflect a sharp Labour slump, with Reform UK surging under Nigel Farage, but fragmented opposition limits threats. Upcoming local elections in May 2025 and welfare bill votes could heighten pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問