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政治·英国

英国の内閣大臣は...までに辞任しますか？

Market icon
政治·英国

英国の内閣大臣は...までに辞任しますか？

$107,274 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$107,274 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$527 Vol.

72%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Since Labour's landslide general election win in July 2024, no UK Cabinet Minister has resigned, underscoring the new government's stability amid its large parliamentary majority of over 400 seats. Early controversies, including a scandal over donor gifts accepted by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and senior aides—leading to the departure of his chief of staff Sue Gray in September—have not prompted Cabinet exits, as Starmer reasserted authority through inquiries and code updates. Criticism over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners has fueled backbench unrest, but Cabinet cohesion holds. Traders eye the 30 October Autumn Budget for potential flashpoints on tax hikes or spending cuts that could strain unity, though historical precedents suggest resignations are rare in a new majority administration's first 100 days.

Since Labour's landslide general election win in July 2024, no UK Cabinet Minister has resigned, underscoring the new government's stability amid its large parliamentary majority of over 400 seats. Early controversies, including a scandal over donor gifts accepted by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and senior aides—leading to the departure of his chief of staff Sue Gray in September—have not prompted Cabinet exits, as Starmer reasserted authority through inquiries and code updates. Criticism over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners has fueled backbench unrest, but Cabinet cohesion holds. Traders eye the 30 October Autumn Budget for potential flashpoints on tax hikes or spending cuts that could strain unity, though historical precedents suggest resignations are rare in a new majority administration's first 100 days.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Since Labour's landslide general election win in July 2024, no UK Cabinet Minister has resigned, underscoring the new government's stability amid its large parliamentary majority of over 400 seats. Early controversies, including a scandal over donor gifts accepted by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and senior aides—leading to the departure of his chief of staff Sue Gray in September—have not prompted Cabinet exits, as Starmer reasserted authority through inquiries and code updates. Criticism over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners has fueled backbench unrest, but Cabinet cohesion holds. Traders eye the 30 October Autumn Budget for potential flashpoints on tax hikes or spending cuts that could strain unity, though historical precedents suggest resignations are rare in a new majority administration's first 100 days.

Since Labour's landslide general election win in July 2024, no UK Cabinet Minister has resigned, underscoring the new government's stability amid its large parliamentary majority of over 400 seats. Early controversies, including a scandal over donor gifts accepted by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and senior aides—leading to the departure of his chief of staff Sue Gray in September—have not prompted Cabinet exits, as Starmer reasserted authority through inquiries and code updates. Criticism over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners has fueled backbench unrest, but Cabinet cohesion holds. Traders eye the 30 October Autumn Budget for potential flashpoints on tax hikes or spending cuts that could strain unity, though historical precedents suggest resignations are rare in a new majority administration's first 100 days.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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「英国の内閣大臣は...までに辞任しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で72%、次いで「2月28日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、72¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に72%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「英国の内閣大臣は...までに辞任しますか？」は$107.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「英国の内閣大臣は...までに辞任しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で72%であり、市場がこの結果に72%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2月28日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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