Market icon
世界·Twitter

Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？

Market icon
世界·Twitter

Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,227,664 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,227,664 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if use of X/Twitter is banned within the United Kingdom by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar U.K. citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of if or when the ban goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the X platform will avoid a U.K. ban by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal regulatory proceedings or legislative push for outright prohibition under the Online Safety Act. Ofcom's enforcement has targeted content moderation failures with fines—such as those recently levied on Meta—rather than platform bans, and X has largely complied amid scrutiny over riot-related misinformation. Heightened tensions from Elon Musk's public clashes with U.K. officials have produced rhetoric but no actionable ban threats in the past month. With the deadline approaching, realistic upset scenarios include a major new incident prompting emergency court intervention or rushed policy changes, though historical precedent favors compliance over prohibition.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the X platform will avoid a U.K. ban by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal regulatory proceedings or legislative push for outright prohibition under the Online Safety Act. Ofcom's enforcement has targeted content moderation failures with fines—such as those recently levied on Meta—rather than platform bans, and X has largely complied amid scrutiny over riot-related misinformation. Heightened tensions from Elon Musk's public clashes with U.K. officials have produced rhetoric but no actionable ban threats in the past month. With the deadline approaching, realistic upset scenarios include a major new incident prompting emergency court intervention or rushed policy changes, though historical precedent favors compliance over prohibition.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if use of X/Twitter is banned within the United Kingdom by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar U.K. citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of if or when the ban goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the X platform will avoid a U.K. ban by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal regulatory proceedings or legislative push for outright prohibition under the Online Safety Act. Ofcom's enforcement has targeted content moderation failures with fines—such as those recently levied on Meta—rather than platform bans, and X has largely complied amid scrutiny over riot-related misinformation. Heightened tensions from Elon Musk's public clashes with U.K. officials have produced rhetoric but no actionable ban threats in the past month. With the deadline approaching, realistic upset scenarios include a major new incident prompting emergency court intervention or rushed policy changes, though historical precedent favors compliance over prohibition.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the X platform will avoid a U.K. ban by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal regulatory proceedings or legislative push for outright prohibition under the Online Safety Act. Ofcom's enforcement has targeted content moderation failures with fines—such as those recently levied on Meta—rather than platform bans, and X has largely complied amid scrutiny over riot-related misinformation. Heightened tensions from Elon Musk's public clashes with U.K. officials have produced rhetoric but no actionable ban threats in the past month. With the deadline approaching, realistic upset scenarios include a major new incident prompting emergency court intervention or rushed policy changes, though historical precedent favors compliance over prohibition.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Xは3月31日までにイギリスで禁止されますか？」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？」は$2.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？」の現在のリーダーは「Xは3月31日までにイギリスで禁止されますか？」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Xは3月31日までに英国で禁止されましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。