Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？

Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？

Mar 30

Apr 1

Mar 30

Apr 1

65～89 39%

40～64 26%

90～114 24%

115〜139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,758 Vol.

65～89 39%

40～64 26%

90～114 24%

115〜139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,758 Vol.

40未満

$1,291 Vol.

4%

40～64

$618 Vol.

26%

65～89

$675 Vol.

39%

90～114

$476 Vol.

24%

115〜139

$718 Vol.

10%

140～164

$954 Vol.

3%

165〜189

$1,091 Vol.

1%

190～214

$1,904 Vol.

1%

215〜239

$5,235 Vol.

<1%

240以上

$4,795 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「65～89」で39%、次いで「40～64」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、39¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に39%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？」は$17.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「65～89」で39%であり、市場がこの結果に39%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「40～64」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月30日～ 4月1日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。