Market icon

トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?

Market icon

トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$892 Vol.

Polymarket

4月30日

$33 Vol.

8%

6月30日

$859 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile, a proposed prepaid wireless service from Trump-affiliated entities leveraging T-Mobile's network, has generated buzz as a politically branded telecom venture amid the carrier industry's push for patriotic alternatives like Patriot Mobile. No confirmed plans for Trump Mobile to manufacture or release its own smartphone hardware have emerged, with focus remaining on service rollout rather than devices; recent reports highlight partnership talks but lack hardware specifics. Trader sentiment hinges on official announcements from Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), whose expansions into fintech signal broader ambitions, yet face regulatory scrutiny and competition. Watch for TMTG earnings calls or Trump family statements in Q4 2024, as election dynamics and consumer demand for branded MVNOs could accelerate or derail progress. Markets reflect uncertainty in unverified carrier launches historically prone to delays.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$892
終了日
Jun 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile, a proposed prepaid wireless service from Trump-affiliated entities leveraging T-Mobile's network, has generated buzz as a politically branded telecom venture amid the carrier industry's push for patriotic alternatives like Patriot Mobile. No confirmed plans for Trump Mobile to manufacture or release its own smartphone hardware have emerged, with focus remaining on service rollout rather than devices; recent reports highlight partnership talks but lack hardware specifics. Trader sentiment hinges on official announcements from Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), whose expansions into fintech signal broader ambitions, yet face regulatory scrutiny and competition. Watch for TMTG earnings calls or Trump family statements in Q4 2024, as election dynamics and consumer demand for branded MVNOs could accelerate or derail progress. Markets reflect uncertainty in unverified carrier launches historically prone to delays.

Trump Mobile, a proposed prepaid wireless service from Trump-affiliated entities leveraging T-Mobile's network, has generated buzz as a politically branded telecom venture amid the carrier industry's push for patriotic alternatives like Patriot Mobile. No confirmed plans for Trump Mobile to manufacture or release its own smartphone hardware have emerged, with focus remaining on service rollout rather than devices; recent reports highlight partnership talks but lack hardware specifics. Trader sentiment hinges on official announcements from Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), whose expansions into fintech signal broader ambitions, yet face regulatory scrutiny and competition. Watch for TMTG earnings calls or Trump family statements in Q4 2024, as election dynamics and consumer demand for branded MVNOs could accelerate or derail progress. Markets reflect uncertainty in unverified carrier launches historically prone to delays.

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よくある質問

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で27%、次いで「4月30日」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 27, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月30日」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。