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GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？

Market icon

GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$13,638,016 Vol.

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$13,638,016 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S—following delays from a 2025 target to May 26, then six months later—has solidified trader consensus at 98.7% against a pre-June release, reflecting the developer's history of prioritizing polish over rushed timelines amid massive hype. Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 reaffirmation and upcoming summer marketing push underscore no acceleration plans, with no verified reports of early access or digital drops in the past 30 days. Realistic upsets remain slim: an improbable surprise advancement announcement or beta leak forcing a hasty rollout, though Rockstar's track record makes such shifts highly unlikely before the locked fall window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
音量
$13,638,016
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S—following delays from a 2025 target to May 26, then six months later—has solidified trader consensus at 98.7% against a pre-June release, reflecting the developer's history of prioritizing polish over rushed timelines amid massive hype. Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 reaffirmation and upcoming summer marketing push underscore no acceleration plans, with no verified reports of early access or digital drops in the past 30 days. Realistic upsets remain slim: an improbable surprise advancement announcement or beta leak forcing a hasty rollout, though Rockstar's track record makes such shifts highly unlikely before the locked fall window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
音量
$13,638,016
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「GTA VIは2026年6月より前に発売されますか？」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？」は$13.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（May 2, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？」の現在のリーダーは「GTA VIは2026年6月より前に発売されますか？」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。