Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next main channel video in its first week, anchored by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," which hit 80 million views in just six days as of late March 2026. This reflects steady view velocity from recent survival challenges, averaging 75-85 million week-one tallies amid consistent Saturday-ish release cadence and massive pre-upload hype via social teasers. Minor probabilities on adjacent buckets like 80-81M (10%) and 82-83M (8.5%) account for potential algorithm fluctuations or thumbnail performance, while lower outcomes see slim odds due to MrBeast's entrenched dominance in viral YouTube challenges. Watch for the next drop, likely this weekend, as early 24-hour stats could swing momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1週目の次のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は? (スモールストライク)
1週目の次のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は? (スモールストライク)
8,100万〜8,200万 80%
8,000万〜8,100万 12%
8200万〜8300万 7%
8,300万〜8,400万 1.1%
$58,671 Vol.
$58,671 Vol.
7900万未満
<1%
7900万~8000万
1%
8,000万〜8,100万
12%
8,100万〜8,200万
80%
8200万〜8300万
7%
8,300万〜8,400万
1%
8,400万以上
1%
8,100万〜8,200万 80%
8,000万〜8,100万 12%
8200万〜8300万 7%
8,300万〜8,400万 1.1%
$58,671 Vol.
$58,671 Vol.
7900万未満
<1%
7900万~8000万
1%
8,000万〜8,100万
12%
8,100万〜8,200万
80%
8200万〜8300万
7%
8,300万〜8,400万
1%
8,400万以上
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next main channel video in its first week, anchored by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," which hit 80 million views in just six days as of late March 2026. This reflects steady view velocity from recent survival challenges, averaging 75-85 million week-one tallies amid consistent Saturday-ish release cadence and massive pre-upload hype via social teasers. Minor probabilities on adjacent buckets like 80-81M (10%) and 82-83M (8.5%) account for potential algorithm fluctuations or thumbnail performance, while lower outcomes see slim odds due to MrBeast's entrenched dominance in viral YouTube challenges. Watch for the next drop, likely this weekend, as early 24-hour stats could swing momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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