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3月31日までの最初の週のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は1億回ですか？

Market icon

3月31日までの最初の週のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は1億回ですか？

Mar 31

Mar 31

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$144,903 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$144,903 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月31日までの最初の週のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は1億回ですか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「3月31日までにMrBeastの動画が最初の週で1億回再生されるか？」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月31日までの最初の週のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は1億回ですか？」は$144.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「3月31日までの最初の週のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は1億回ですか？」の現在のリーダーは「3月31日までにMrBeastの動画が最初の週で1億回再生されるか？」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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