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テクノロジー·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Market icon
テクノロジー·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Mar 31

Mar 31

Claude by Anthropic 93%

ChatGPT 3.5%

MLB 3.5%

NCAA March Madness Live 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 93%

ChatGPT 3.5%

MLB 3.5%

NCAA March Madness Live 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW
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Claude by Anthropic

$250 Vol.

93%

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ChatGPT

$11 Vol.

4%

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MLB

$17 Vol.

3%

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NCAA March Madness Live

$215 Vol.

2%

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Threads

$95 Vol.

2%

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MyTSA

$46 Vol.

2%

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Google

$465 Vol.

2%

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Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$68 Vol.

1%

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Google Gemini

$19 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Claude by Anthropic a 92.5% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on March 31, driven by its recent surge to the top ranks amid a massive user exodus from ChatGPT. OpenAI's acceptance of a Pentagon contract sparked backlash, including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls, #QuitGPT campaigns, and flooded one-star reviews, propelling Claude—bolstered by Opus 4.6's benchmark-leading large language model capabilities—to #1 briefly before settling at #2 behind ChatGPT as of March 28. Apple's iOS 27 plans to integrate rival AI assistants like Claude into Siri further fuel adoption momentum. Realistic challenges include seasonal surges from MLB or NCAA March Madness apps, ChatGPT recovery, or viral shifts favoring Threads or Temu, though Claude's skin-in-the-game user trust and daily active user growth make slippage unlikely absent major catalysts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Claude by Anthropic a 92.5% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on March 31, driven by its recent surge to the top ranks amid a massive user exodus from ChatGPT. OpenAI's acceptance of a Pentagon contract sparked backlash, including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls, #QuitGPT campaigns, and flooded one-star reviews, propelling Claude—bolstered by Opus 4.6's benchmark-leading large language model capabilities—to #1 briefly before settling at #2 behind ChatGPT as of March 28. Apple's iOS 27 plans to integrate rival AI assistants like Claude into Siri further fuel adoption momentum. Realistic challenges include seasonal surges from MLB or NCAA March Madness apps, ChatGPT recovery, or viral shifts favoring Threads or Temu, though Claude's skin-in-the-game user trust and daily active user growth make slippage unlikely absent major catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Claude by Anthropic a 92.5% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on March 31, driven by its recent surge to the top ranks amid a massive user exodus from ChatGPT. OpenAI's acceptance of a Pentagon contract sparked backlash, including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls, #QuitGPT campaigns, and flooded one-star reviews, propelling Claude—bolstered by Opus 4.6's benchmark-leading large language model capabilities—to #1 briefly before settling at #2 behind ChatGPT as of March 28. Apple's iOS 27 plans to integrate rival AI assistants like Claude into Siri further fuel adoption momentum. Realistic challenges include seasonal surges from MLB or NCAA March Madness apps, ChatGPT recovery, or viral shifts favoring Threads or Temu, though Claude's skin-in-the-game user trust and daily active user growth make slippage unlikely absent major catalysts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Claude by Anthropic a 92.5% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store on March 31, driven by its recent surge to the top ranks amid a massive user exodus from ChatGPT. OpenAI's acceptance of a Pentagon contract sparked backlash, including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls, #QuitGPT campaigns, and flooded one-star reviews, propelling Claude—bolstered by Opus 4.6's benchmark-leading large language model capabilities—to #1 briefly before settling at #2 behind ChatGPT as of March 28. Apple's iOS 27 plans to integrate rival AI assistants like Claude into Siri further fuel adoption momentum. Realistic challenges include seasonal surges from MLB or NCAA March Madness apps, ChatGPT recovery, or viral shifts favoring Threads or Temu, though Claude's skin-in-the-game user trust and daily active user growth make slippage unlikely absent major catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Claude by Anthropic」で93%、次いで「ChatGPT」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Claude by Anthropic」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ChatGPT」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。