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Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?

Market icon

Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?

1320~1359 30.6%

1,360〜1,399 27.5%

1280〜1319 18.6%

1400以上 16.9%

Polymarket

$3,119,738 Vol.

1320~1359 30.6%

1,360〜1,399 27.5%

1280〜1319 18.6%

1400以上 16.9%

Polymarket

$3,119,738 Vol.

1160~1199

$270,940 Vol.

<1%

1200~1239

$304,765 Vol.

1%

1240〜1279

$379,833 Vol.

3%

1280〜1319

$700,774 Vol.

19%

1320~1359

$430,094 Vol.

31%

1,360〜1,399

$207,101 Vol.

28%

1400以上

$88,798 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の51+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1320~1359」で31%、次いで「1,360〜1,399」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?」は$3.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている51+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1320~1359」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1,360〜1,399」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年3月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。