Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1320~1359 30.6%
1,360〜1,399 27.5%
1280〜1319 18.6%
1400以上 16.9%
$3,119,738 Vol.
$3,119,738 Vol.
1160~1199
<1%
1200~1239
1%
1240〜1279
3%
1280〜1319
19%
1320~1359
31%
1,360〜1,399
28%
1400以上
17%
1320~1359 30.6%
1,360〜1,399 27.5%
1280〜1319 18.6%
1400以上 16.9%
$3,119,738 Vol.
$3,119,738 Vol.
1160~1199
<1%
1200~1239
1%
1240〜1279
3%
1280〜1319
19%
1320~1359
31%
1,360〜1,399
28%
1400以上
17%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits Elon Musk's projected March 2026 X post volume between 1360-1399 (27.1%) and 1400+ (26%), mirroring his recent monthly averages of 1,300-1,500 posts driven by intense political commentary as co-chair of the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). December 2024 saw over 1,400 posts on federal spending reforms and tech policy, with January 2025 maintaining 40-50 daily posts amid agency restructuring announcements, anchoring the tight race without slowdown indicators. Separation could emerge from major DOGE milestones, election-year escalations, or shifts in his advisory role, while platform algorithm tweaks or reduced public engagements might favor lower bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問