Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office despite mounting domestic pressure from the ongoing Gaza conflict, hostage negotiations, and his corruption trial, where he recently testified for the third time in mid-December. Trader consensus reflects his coalition's narrow Knesset majority, bolstered by far-right partners and a recent Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire on November 27 that eased northern threats, reducing immediate ouster risks. Protests have waned post-US election with Trump's victory signaling potential diplomatic support, though opposition parties lead polls amid war fatigue. Key upcoming events include January budget votes, possible no-confidence motions over Haredi military draft exemptions, and ceasefire talks that could trigger snap elections or resignations if hostages remain undelivered. Structural factors favor stability until the November 2026 Knesset term end absent a coalition collapse.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$74,068,789 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
4月30日
4%
6月30日
10%
12月31日
52%
$74,068,789 Vol.
3月31日
$69,030,773 Vol.
1%
4月30日
$1,661,851 Vol.
4%
6月30日
$2,455,580 Vol.
10%
12月31日
$922,924 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office despite mounting domestic pressure from the ongoing Gaza conflict, hostage negotiations, and his corruption trial, where he recently testified for the third time in mid-December. Trader consensus reflects his coalition's narrow Knesset majority, bolstered by far-right partners and a recent Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire on November 27 that eased northern threats, reducing immediate ouster risks. Protests have waned post-US election with Trump's victory signaling potential diplomatic support, though opposition parties lead polls amid war fatigue. Key upcoming events include January budget votes, possible no-confidence motions over Haredi military draft exemptions, and ceasefire talks that could trigger snap elections or resignations if hostages remain undelivered. Structural factors favor stability until the November 2026 Knesset term end absent a coalition collapse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
音量
$74,068,789終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office despite mounting domestic pressure from the ongoing Gaza conflict, hostage negotiations, and his corruption trial, where he recently testified for the third time in mid-December. Trader consensus reflects his coalition's narrow Knesset majority, bolstered by far-right partners and a recent Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire on November 27 that eased northern threats, reducing immediate ouster risks. Protests have waned post-US election with Trump's victory signaling potential diplomatic support, though opposition parties lead polls amid war fatigue. Key upcoming events include January budget votes, possible no-confidence motions over Haredi military draft exemptions, and ceasefire talks that could trigger snap elections or resignations if hostages remain undelivered. Structural factors favor stability until the November 2026 Knesset term end absent a coalition collapse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$74,068,789終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office despite mounting domestic pressure from the ongoing Gaza conflict, hostage negotiations, and his corruption trial, where he recently testified for the third time in mid-December. Trader consensus reflects his coalition's narrow Knesset majority, bolstered by far-right partners and a recent Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire on November 27 that eased northern threats, reducing immediate ouster risks. Protests have waned post-US election with Trump's victory signaling potential diplomatic support, though opposition parties lead polls amid war fatigue. Key upcoming events include January budget votes, possible no-confidence motions over Haredi military draft exemptions, and ceasefire talks that could trigger snap elections or resignations if hostages remain undelivered. Structural factors favor stability until the November 2026 Knesset term end absent a coalition collapse.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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