Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition secured resounding victories in recent state assembly elections, including a landslide in Assam where BJP crossed the two-thirds majority and a historic takeover of opposition stronghold West Bengal, extending BJP governance to over 20 states as of early May 2026. These results, announced within the past week, have bolstered perceptions of NDA stability and Modi's firm leadership, with no reports of internal coalition fractures, health concerns, or snap election triggers. Traders price an 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflecting this electoral momentum and the absence of catalysts for leadership change before the 2029 Lok Sabha polls, though late-breaking developments like economic shocks could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$27,325 Vol.
$27,325 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$27,325 Vol.
$27,325 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition secured resounding victories in recent state assembly elections, including a landslide in Assam where BJP crossed the two-thirds majority and a historic takeover of opposition stronghold West Bengal, extending BJP governance to over 20 states as of early May 2026. These results, announced within the past week, have bolstered perceptions of NDA stability and Modi's firm leadership, with no reports of internal coalition fractures, health concerns, or snap election triggers. Traders price an 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflecting this electoral momentum and the absence of catalysts for leadership change before the 2029 Lok Sabha polls, though late-breaking developments like economic shocks could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$27,325終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition secured resounding victories in recent state assembly elections, including a landslide in Assam where BJP crossed the two-thirds majority and a historic takeover of opposition stronghold West Bengal, extending BJP governance to over 20 states as of early May 2026. These results, announced within the past week, have bolstered perceptions of NDA stability and Modi's firm leadership, with no reports of internal coalition fractures, health concerns, or snap election triggers. Traders price an 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflecting this electoral momentum and the absence of catalysts for leadership change before the 2029 Lok Sabha polls, though late-breaking developments like economic shocks could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,325終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition secured resounding victories in recent state assembly elections, including a landslide in Assam where BJP crossed the two-thirds majority and a historic takeover of opposition stronghold West Bengal, extending BJP governance to over 20 states as of early May 2026. These results, announced within the past week, have bolstered perceptions of NDA stability and Modi's firm leadership, with no reports of internal coalition fractures, health concerns, or snap election triggers. Traders price an 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflecting this electoral momentum and the absence of catalysts for leadership change before the 2029 Lok Sabha polls, though late-breaking developments like economic shocks could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問