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icon for モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?

モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?

icon for モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?

モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$252,183 Vol.

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$252,183 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains firmly entrenched through the current Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, with the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority that reduces pressure for early leadership change. Recent polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred prime ministerial choice at 48.7 percent, despite a modest dip from prior surveys, while his milestone as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 drew broad domestic and international recognition. Active diplomatic engagements, including hosting the BRICS Summit in New Delhi and bilateral meetings in September 2026, underscore ongoing stability and institutional support. Isolated opposition criticism and localized protests have not translated into credible challenges capable of forcing resignation or removal before the December 2026 cutoff, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$252,183
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains firmly entrenched through the current Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, with the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority that reduces pressure for early leadership change. Recent polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred prime ministerial choice at 48.7 percent, despite a modest dip from prior surveys, while his milestone as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 drew broad domestic and international recognition. Active diplomatic engagements, including hosting the BRICS Summit in New Delhi and bilateral meetings in September 2026, underscore ongoing stability and institutional support. Isolated opposition criticism and localized protests have not translated into credible challenges capable of forcing resignation or removal before the December 2026 cutoff, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$252,183
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「モディは2026年12月31日までに退任しますか?」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?」は$252.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「モディは2026年12月31日までに退任しますか?」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「モディは2026年12月31日までに退陣しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。