Vladimir Putin's entrenched grip on power, reinforced by his March 2024 re-election amid suppressed opposition and constitutional amendments enabling service until 2036, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% against his removal by December 31, 2026. No recent political catalysts—such as elite defections, health crises, or no-confidence challenges—have emerged to shift sentiment, with Russia's security apparatus and siloviki remaining loyal. Ongoing Ukraine conflict developments, including Moscow's counteroffensive reclaiming much of the Kursk region invaded in August and North Korean troop deployments in October, signal Putin's sustained wartime leadership without domestic instability. Barring unforeseen coups, scandals, or health events with slim historical precedent, traders anticipate continuity through his current term ending 2030.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$3,154,730 Vol.
$3,154,730 Vol.
はい
$3,154,730 Vol.
$3,154,730 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's entrenched grip on power, reinforced by his March 2024 re-election amid suppressed opposition and constitutional amendments enabling service until 2036, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% against his removal by December 31, 2026. No recent political catalysts—such as elite defections, health crises, or no-confidence challenges—have emerged to shift sentiment, with Russia's security apparatus and siloviki remaining loyal. Ongoing Ukraine conflict developments, including Moscow's counteroffensive reclaiming much of the Kursk region invaded in August and North Korean troop deployments in October, signal Putin's sustained wartime leadership without domestic instability. Barring unforeseen coups, scandals, or health events with slim historical precedent, traders anticipate continuity through his current term ending 2030.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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