Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and unmet preconditions amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Early February reports suggested Zelenskyy might announce elections and a peace vote by May under U.S. pressure for a ceasefire-linked deal, but talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough on February 18, with Russia demanding territorial concessions. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 votes until six months post-ceasefire in late March, while over 50 NGOs decried the referendum idea as unlawful. A March 16 KIIS poll showed half of Ukrainians open to a peace referendum, yet persistent frontline fighting and constitutional barriers under martial law solidify skepticism on timely resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and unmet preconditions amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Early February reports suggested Zelenskyy might announce elections and a peace vote by May under U.S. pressure for a ceasefire-linked deal, but talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough on February 18, with Russia demanding territorial concessions. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 votes until six months post-ceasefire in late March, while over 50 NGOs decried the referendum idea as unlawful. A March 16 KIIS poll showed half of Ukrainians open to a peace referendum, yet persistent frontline fighting and constitutional barriers under martial law solidify skepticism on timely resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$8,946終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and unmet preconditions amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Early February reports suggested Zelenskyy might announce elections and a peace vote by May under U.S. pressure for a ceasefire-linked deal, but talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough on February 18, with Russia demanding territorial concessions. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 votes until six months post-ceasefire in late March, while over 50 NGOs decried the referendum idea as unlawful. A March 16 KIIS poll showed half of Ukrainians open to a peace referendum, yet persistent frontline fighting and constitutional barriers under martial law solidify skepticism on timely resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,946終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and unmet preconditions amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Early February reports suggested Zelenskyy might announce elections and a peace vote by May under U.S. pressure for a ceasefire-linked deal, but talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough on February 18, with Russia demanding territorial concessions. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 votes until six months post-ceasefire in late March, while over 50 NGOs decried the referendum idea as unlawful. A March 16 KIIS poll showed half of Ukrainians open to a peace referendum, yet persistent frontline fighting and constitutional barriers under martial law solidify skepticism on timely resolution.
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