Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled US-brokered talks and persistent front-line fighting, with Moscow announcing a "situational pause" in negotiations as of March 19, 2026, amid mutual claims of territorial advances. Despite President Zelenskyy's February pledges to hold a referendum alongside spring elections—contingent on a prior ceasefire—and backing of US peace proposals offering 15-year security guarantees, no deal has materialized, as Kyiv insists on 60 days of lasting peace for voting. Recent KIIS polls show 50-61% public openness to a referendum but 76% rejection of Russia's terms, underscoring deep divides. Ongoing hostilities and diplomatic impasse reinforce the low likelihood of resolution by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled US-brokered talks and persistent front-line fighting, with Moscow announcing a "situational pause" in negotiations as of March 19, 2026, amid mutual claims of territorial advances. Despite President Zelenskyy's February pledges to hold a referendum alongside spring elections—contingent on a prior ceasefire—and backing of US peace proposals offering 15-year security guarantees, no deal has materialized, as Kyiv insists on 60 days of lasting peace for voting. Recent KIIS polls show 50-61% public openness to a referendum but 76% rejection of Russia's terms, underscoring deep divides. Ongoing hostilities and diplomatic impasse reinforce the low likelihood of resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$8,915終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled US-brokered talks and persistent front-line fighting, with Moscow announcing a "situational pause" in negotiations as of March 19, 2026, amid mutual claims of territorial advances. Despite President Zelenskyy's February pledges to hold a referendum alongside spring elections—contingent on a prior ceasefire—and backing of US peace proposals offering 15-year security guarantees, no deal has materialized, as Kyiv insists on 60 days of lasting peace for voting. Recent KIIS polls show 50-61% public openness to a referendum but 76% rejection of Russia's terms, underscoring deep divides. Ongoing hostilities and diplomatic impasse reinforce the low likelihood of resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,915終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled US-brokered talks and persistent front-line fighting, with Moscow announcing a "situational pause" in negotiations as of March 19, 2026, amid mutual claims of territorial advances. Despite President Zelenskyy's February pledges to hold a referendum alongside spring elections—contingent on a prior ceasefire—and backing of US peace proposals offering 15-year security guarantees, no deal has materialized, as Kyiv insists on 60 days of lasting peace for voting. Recent KIIS polls show 50-61% public openness to a referendum but 76% rejection of Russia's terms, underscoring deep divides. Ongoing hostilities and diplomatic impasse reinforce the low likelihood of resolution by year-end.
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