Intensified Russian advances in Donetsk, including gains near Pokrovsk, combined with Ukraine's shrinking Kursk salient, underscore Russia's recent hot streak and defensive matchup edge, driving the 83.5% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Putin's firm rejection of ceasefires without territorial concessions acts like a star QB's no-huddle offense, while Zelenskyy's push for more Western arms mirrors a team demanding reinforcements amid injury woes from manpower shortages. North Korean troop deployments bolster Russia's depth chart, extending the stalemate without rest advantages or trade deadline deals for peace, as traders price in a protracted grind over any knockout resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$383,524 Vol.
$383,524 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$383,524 Vol.
$383,524 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfIntensified Russian advances in Donetsk, including gains near Pokrovsk, combined with Ukraine's shrinking Kursk salient, underscore Russia's recent hot streak and defensive matchup edge, driving the 83.5% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Putin's firm rejection of ceasefires without territorial concessions acts like a star QB's no-huddle offense, while Zelenskyy's push for more Western arms mirrors a team demanding reinforcements amid injury woes from manpower shortages. North Korean troop deployments bolster Russia's depth chart, extending the stalemate without rest advantages or trade deadline deals for peace, as traders price in a protracted grind over any knockout resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日： Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
音量
$383,524終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfIntensified Russian advances in Donetsk, including gains near Pokrovsk, combined with Ukraine's shrinking Kursk salient, underscore Russia's recent hot streak and defensive matchup edge, driving the 83.5% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Putin's firm rejection of ceasefires without territorial concessions acts like a star QB's no-huddle offense, while Zelenskyy's push for more Western arms mirrors a team demanding reinforcements amid injury woes from manpower shortages. North Korean troop deployments bolster Russia's depth chart, extending the stalemate without rest advantages or trade deadline deals for peace, as traders price in a protracted grind over any knockout resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
音量
$383,524終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Intensified Russian advances in Donetsk, including gains near Pokrovsk, combined with Ukraine's shrinking Kursk salient, underscore Russia's recent hot streak and defensive matchup edge, driving the 83.5% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay. Putin's firm rejection of ceasefires without territorial concessions acts like a star QB's no-huddle offense, while Zelenskyy's push for more Western arms mirrors a team demanding reinforcements amid injury woes from manpower shortages. North Korean troop deployments bolster Russia's depth chart, extending the stalemate without rest advantages or trade deadline deals for peace, as traders price in a protracted grind over any knockout resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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