United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its dominant position within Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system and extensive administrative resources at federal and regional levels. The party's recent internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev underscore coordinated efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. New People has shown notable polling gains in some surveys, reaching second place in VTsIOM data at around 13 percent, yet trails significantly in face-to-face measures and lacks comparable local infrastructure. Other parties, including the Liberal Democratic Party and Communist Party, face organizational challenges and stagnant or declining support, limiting their prospects for the top position. The official campaign launch in June could further clarify dynamics in this tightly managed contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 63%
ニューピープル（NL） 28.2%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.7%
$8,086,412 Vol.
$8,086,412 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
63%
ニューピープル（NL）
28%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
4%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 63%
ニューピープル（NL） 28.2%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.7%
$8,086,412 Vol.
$8,086,412 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$2,122,214 Vol.
63%
ニューピープル（NL）
$988,097 Vol.
28%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,270,214 Vol.
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$652,015 Vol.
4%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$568,848 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$908,017 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$577,008 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its dominant position within Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system and extensive administrative resources at federal and regional levels. The party's recent internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev underscore coordinated efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. New People has shown notable polling gains in some surveys, reaching second place in VTsIOM data at around 13 percent, yet trails significantly in face-to-face measures and lacks comparable local infrastructure. Other parties, including the Liberal Democratic Party and Communist Party, face organizational challenges and stagnant or declining support, limiting their prospects for the top position. The official campaign launch in June could further clarify dynamics in this tightly managed contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$8,086,412終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its dominant position within Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system and extensive administrative resources at federal and regional levels. The party's recent internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev underscore coordinated efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. New People has shown notable polling gains in some surveys, reaching second place in VTsIOM data at around 13 percent, yet trails significantly in face-to-face measures and lacks comparable local infrastructure. Other parties, including the Liberal Democratic Party and Communist Party, face organizational challenges and stagnant or declining support, limiting their prospects for the top position. The official campaign launch in June could further clarify dynamics in this tightly managed contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$8,086,412終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its dominant position within Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system and extensive administrative resources at federal and regional levels. The party's recent internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev underscore coordinated efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. New People has shown notable polling gains in some surveys, reaching second place in VTsIOM data at around 13 percent, yet trails significantly in face-to-face measures and lacks comparable local infrastructure. Other parties, including the Liberal Democratic Party and Communist Party, face organizational challenges and stagnant or declining support, limiting their prospects for the top position. The official campaign launch in June could further clarify dynamics in this tightly managed contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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