Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, anchored by its incumbency dominance in the 225 single-member districts—where it historically secures overwhelming majorities—despite party-list polls showing support at 29-41% amid economic pressures like rising prices. Recent VTsIOM surveys from mid-to-late March mark New People's first overtake into second place at 10.7%, surpassing KPRF and LDPR at around 9-10%, as Kremlin-aligned messaging positions it as viable systemic opposition, elevating its distant challenge. LDPR and KPRF trail with comparable list support but weaker district prospects, while smaller parties like SRZP and Rodina remain marginal below the 5% threshold. Campaign preparations intensify ahead of the September 20 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 71%
ニューピープル（NL） 20.7%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.8%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,392,516 Vol.
$4,392,516 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
統一ロシア（ER）
71%
ニューピープル（NL）
21%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 71%
ニューピープル（NL） 20.7%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.8%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,392,516 Vol.
$4,392,516 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
統一ロシア（ER）
$1,215,524 Vol.
71%
ニューピープル（NL）
$276,593 Vol.
21%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,034,112 Vol.
6%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$254,592 Vol.
1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$226,400 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$195,922 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$189,372 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, anchored by its incumbency dominance in the 225 single-member districts—where it historically secures overwhelming majorities—despite party-list polls showing support at 29-41% amid economic pressures like rising prices. Recent VTsIOM surveys from mid-to-late March mark New People's first overtake into second place at 10.7%, surpassing KPRF and LDPR at around 9-10%, as Kremlin-aligned messaging positions it as viable systemic opposition, elevating its distant challenge. LDPR and KPRF trail with comparable list support but weaker district prospects, while smaller parties like SRZP and Rodina remain marginal below the 5% threshold. Campaign preparations intensify ahead of the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$4,392,516終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, anchored by its incumbency dominance in the 225 single-member districts—where it historically secures overwhelming majorities—despite party-list polls showing support at 29-41% amid economic pressures like rising prices. Recent VTsIOM surveys from mid-to-late March mark New People's first overtake into second place at 10.7%, surpassing KPRF and LDPR at around 9-10%, as Kremlin-aligned messaging positions it as viable systemic opposition, elevating its distant challenge. LDPR and KPRF trail with comparable list support but weaker district prospects, while smaller parties like SRZP and Rodina remain marginal below the 5% threshold. Campaign preparations intensify ahead of the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$4,392,516終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors United Russia to claim the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, anchored by its incumbency dominance in the 225 single-member districts—where it historically secures overwhelming majorities—despite party-list polls showing support at 29-41% amid economic pressures like rising prices. Recent VTsIOM surveys from mid-to-late March mark New People's first overtake into second place at 10.7%, surpassing KPRF and LDPR at around 9-10%, as Kremlin-aligned messaging positions it as viable systemic opposition, elevating its distant challenge. LDPR and KPRF trail with comparable list support but weaker district prospects, while smaller parties like SRZP and Rodina remain marginal below the 5% threshold. Campaign preparations intensify ahead of the September 20 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問