Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラス・バラカ 100.0%
アシャ・コーツ=ハムレット <1%
シーラ・モンタギュー <1%
ジャマー・ヤングブラッド <1%
$40,740 Vol.
$40,740 Vol.
アシャ・コーツ=ハムレット
いいえ
シーラ・モンタギュー
いいえ
ジャマー・ヤングブラッド
いいえ
タニーシャ・ガーナー
いいえ
ルイス・ショックリー
いいえ
ラス・バラカ
はい
ノーブル・ミルトン
いいえ
ナシーダ・シングルトン
いいえ
ダグラス・デイビス
いいえ
デブラ・ソルターズ
いいえ
ラス・バラカ 100.0%
アシャ・コーツ=ハムレット <1%
シーラ・モンタギュー <1%
ジャマー・ヤングブラッド <1%
$40,740 Vol.
$40,740 Vol.
アシャ・コーツ=ハムレット
いいえ
シーラ・モンタギュー
いいえ
ジャマー・ヤングブラッド
いいえ
タニーシャ・ガーナー
いいえ
ルイス・ショックリー
いいえ
ラス・バラカ
はい
ノーブル・ミルトン
いいえ
ナシーダ・シングルトン
いいえ
ダグラス・デイビス
いいえ
デブラ・ソルターズ
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
マーケット開始日: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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