Andy Burnham holds a commanding lead in the Makerfield by-election market as Labour’s selected candidate, following the May 2026 resignation of sitting MP Josh Simons that was explicitly arranged to enable his Westminster return and potential leadership bid. The seat, a former Labour stronghold now facing Reform UK pressure, features Robert Kenyon as the main challenger on issues such as immigration and local discontent. Recent polling and focus groups show Burnham ahead but with Reform competitive in the constituency, while Labour’s National Executive Committee endorsement and Burnham’s established profile as Greater Manchester mayor have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the 18 June vote. Minor candidates trail with negligible support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Andy Burnham 85%
Robert Kenyon 14%
レベッカ・シェパード 1.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,495,781 Vol.
$2,495,781 Vol.
Andy Burnham
85%
Robert Kenyon
14%
レベッカ・シェパード
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 85%
Robert Kenyon 14%
レベッカ・シェパード 1.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,495,781 Vol.
$2,495,781 Vol.
Andy Burnham
85%
Robert Kenyon
14%
レベッカ・シェパード
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham holds a commanding lead in the Makerfield by-election market as Labour’s selected candidate, following the May 2026 resignation of sitting MP Josh Simons that was explicitly arranged to enable his Westminster return and potential leadership bid. The seat, a former Labour stronghold now facing Reform UK pressure, features Robert Kenyon as the main challenger on issues such as immigration and local discontent. Recent polling and focus groups show Burnham ahead but with Reform competitive in the constituency, while Labour’s National Executive Committee endorsement and Burnham’s established profile as Greater Manchester mayor have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the 18 June vote. Minor candidates trail with negligible support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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