Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 25% implied probability for GBP/USD hitting 1.35 in 2026, driven primarily by persistent US-UK interest rate differentials favoring the dollar amid the Federal Reserve's hawkish pause versus the Bank of England's aggressive easing cycle, with BoE base rate at 5% after recent 25bps cuts while Fed funds hold near 4.75-5%. Current spot trades at 1.295, down 2% YTD on softer UK GDP (0.4% Q3 contraction risk) and sticky inflation divergence—UK CPI at 2.3% versus US 2.7%. Key 2026 catalysts include BoE February review, US election fiscal impacts, and ECB policy spillovers; breach above 1.32 resistance needed for bullish reversal, per technicals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑1.70
14%
↑1.60
32%
↑1.55
16%
↑1.50
29%
↑1.45
32%
↑1.40
53%
↓1.30
68%
↓1.25
54%
↓1.20
46%
↓1.10
37%
↓1.00
15%
$1,558 Vol.
↑1.70
$670 Vol.
14%
↑1.60
$0 Vol.
32%
↑1.55
$0 Vol.
16%
↑1.50
$0 Vol.
29%
↑1.45
$0 Vol.
32%
↑1.40
$0 Vol.
53%
↓1.30
$888 Vol.
68%
↓1.25
$0 Vol.
54%
↓1.20
$0 Vol.
46%
↓1.10
$0 Vol.
37%
↓1.00
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
音量
$1,558終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
音量
$1,558終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 25% implied probability for GBP/USD hitting 1.35 in 2026, driven primarily by persistent US-UK interest rate differentials favoring the dollar amid the Federal Reserve's hawkish pause versus the Bank of England's aggressive easing cycle, with BoE base rate at 5% after recent 25bps cuts while Fed funds hold near 4.75-5%. Current spot trades at 1.295, down 2% YTD on softer UK GDP (0.4% Q3 contraction risk) and sticky inflation divergence—UK CPI at 2.3% versus US 2.7%. Key 2026 catalysts include BoE February review, US election fiscal impacts, and ECB policy spillovers; breach above 1.32 resistance needed for bullish reversal, per technicals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問