Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds the power to call a snap general election at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline in summer 2029, and recent polling shows a tight three-way race with Labour, Reform UK, and the Conservatives clustered around 20-23%. Speculation about an early contest in spring 2027 has grown amid Reform's candidate selection push and internal Labour pressures, though analysts note the risks for the governing party given its recent leadership transition from Keir Starmer. Key near-term catalysts include October by-elections, May 2026 local polls in parts of England, and any shifts in economic data or Reform funding controversies that could alter the prime minister's calculus on timing. Traders watch these events closely as they directly influence the probability of an earlier call.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
$823,784 Vol.
2026/12/31
December 31, 2026
8%
June 30, 2027
31%
$823,784 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$27,291 Vol.
8%
June 30, 2027
$5,345 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds the power to call a snap general election at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline in summer 2029, and recent polling shows a tight three-way race with Labour, Reform UK, and the Conservatives clustered around 20-23%. Speculation about an early contest in spring 2027 has grown amid Reform's candidate selection push and internal Labour pressures, though analysts note the risks for the governing party given its recent leadership transition from Keir Starmer. Key near-term catalysts include October by-elections, May 2026 local polls in parts of England, and any shifts in economic data or Reform funding controversies that could alter the prime minister's calculus on timing. Traders watch these events closely as they directly influence the probability of an earlier call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$823,784終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds the power to call a snap general election at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline in summer 2029, and recent polling shows a tight three-way race with Labour, Reform UK, and the Conservatives clustered around 20-23%. Speculation about an early contest in spring 2027 has grown amid Reform's candidate selection push and internal Labour pressures, though analysts note the risks for the governing party given its recent leadership transition from Keir Starmer. Key near-term catalysts include October by-elections, May 2026 local polls in parts of England, and any shifts in economic data or Reform funding controversies that could alter the prime minister's calculus on timing. Traders watch these events closely as they directly influence the probability of an earlier call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$823,784終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds the power to call a snap general election at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline in summer 2029, and recent polling shows a tight three-way race with Labour, Reform UK, and the Conservatives clustered around 20-23%. Speculation about an early contest in spring 2027 has grown amid Reform's candidate selection push and internal Labour pressures, though analysts note the risks for the governing party given its recent leadership transition from Keir Starmer. Key near-term catalysts include October by-elections, May 2026 local polls in parts of England, and any shifts in economic data or Reform funding controversies that could alter the prime minister's calculus on timing. Traders watch these events closely as they directly influence the probability of an earlier call.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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