Andy Burnham’s new Labour government holds a solid parliamentary majority after Keir Starmer’s 2026 resignation and leadership transition, allowing the prime minister to call a snap election at any time before the statutory deadline of August 2029. Recent YouGov and other polls show Labour and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the low-to-mid 20s, with Conservatives trailing, creating little incentive for an early contest that could hand seats to Nigel Farage’s party. Analysts including John Curtice have publicly cautioned against a premature vote, noting Labour’s post-2024 vote-share erosion and Reform’s organisational push ahead of any spring 2027 scenario. An October by-election in Starmer’s former seat and ongoing fiscal constraints further shape the near-term calendar, keeping trader-implied odds of a call by late 2025 or mid-2026 very low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか？
$823,784 Vol.
2026/12/31
December 31, 2026
8%
June 30, 2027
31%
$823,784 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$27,291 Vol.
8%
June 30, 2027
$5,345 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s new Labour government holds a solid parliamentary majority after Keir Starmer’s 2026 resignation and leadership transition, allowing the prime minister to call a snap election at any time before the statutory deadline of August 2029. Recent YouGov and other polls show Labour and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the low-to-mid 20s, with Conservatives trailing, creating little incentive for an early contest that could hand seats to Nigel Farage’s party. Analysts including John Curtice have publicly cautioned against a premature vote, noting Labour’s post-2024 vote-share erosion and Reform’s organisational push ahead of any spring 2027 scenario. An October by-election in Starmer’s former seat and ongoing fiscal constraints further shape the near-term calendar, keeping trader-implied odds of a call by late 2025 or mid-2026 very low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$823,784終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s new Labour government holds a solid parliamentary majority after Keir Starmer’s 2026 resignation and leadership transition, allowing the prime minister to call a snap election at any time before the statutory deadline of August 2029. Recent YouGov and other polls show Labour and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the low-to-mid 20s, with Conservatives trailing, creating little incentive for an early contest that could hand seats to Nigel Farage’s party. Analysts including John Curtice have publicly cautioned against a premature vote, noting Labour’s post-2024 vote-share erosion and Reform’s organisational push ahead of any spring 2027 scenario. An October by-election in Starmer’s former seat and ongoing fiscal constraints further shape the near-term calendar, keeping trader-implied odds of a call by late 2025 or mid-2026 very low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$823,784終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Andy Burnham’s new Labour government holds a solid parliamentary majority after Keir Starmer’s 2026 resignation and leadership transition, allowing the prime minister to call a snap election at any time before the statutory deadline of August 2029. Recent YouGov and other polls show Labour and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the low-to-mid 20s, with Conservatives trailing, creating little incentive for an early contest that could hand seats to Nigel Farage’s party. Analysts including John Curtice have publicly cautioned against a premature vote, noting Labour’s post-2024 vote-share erosion and Reform’s organisational push ahead of any spring 2027 scenario. An October by-election in Starmer’s former seat and ongoing fiscal constraints further shape the near-term calendar, keeping trader-implied odds of a call by late 2025 or mid-2026 very low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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