Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local and devolved elections have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with Reform UK gaining ground in voter surveys and highlighting dissatisfaction over economic conditions and governance. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments framework, the next general election must occur no later than August 2029, but the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament and call a snap vote at any time. Traders monitor weekly polling trends, cabinet stability, and fiscal announcements as key signals that could prompt an earlier contest, while historical patterns show governing parties rarely risk mid-term elections without clear advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか?
$770,295 Vol.
2026年6月30日
3%
December 31, 2026
31%
$770,295 Vol.
2026年6月30日
3%
December 31, 2026
31%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local and devolved elections have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with Reform UK gaining ground in voter surveys and highlighting dissatisfaction over economic conditions and governance. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments framework, the next general election must occur no later than August 2029, but the prime minister holds discretion to dissolve Parliament and call a snap vote at any time. Traders monitor weekly polling trends, cabinet stability, and fiscal announcements as key signals that could prompt an earlier contest, while historical patterns show governing parties rarely risk mid-term elections without clear advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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