The UK’s next general election must occur no later than mid-August 2029, five years after Parliament first convened in July 2024, though the prime minister holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to dissolve Parliament and set an earlier date. Recent May 2026 local elections delivered weak results for Labour, heightening internal party pressure on Keir Starmer and prompting speculation about timing. Traders monitor poll trends, economic indicators, and any signals of leadership strain as key variables that could accelerate or delay the announcement. No constitutional trigger exists for an early vote, so the decision rests on the government’s assessment of its position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日英国の選挙は...によって召集されましたか?
$770,295 Vol.
2026年6月30日
3%
December 31, 2026
50%
$770,295 Vol.
2026年6月30日
3%
December 31, 2026
50%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The UK’s next general election must occur no later than mid-August 2029, five years after Parliament first convened in July 2024, though the prime minister holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to dissolve Parliament and set an earlier date. Recent May 2026 local elections delivered weak results for Labour, heightening internal party pressure on Keir Starmer and prompting speculation about timing. Traders monitor poll trends, economic indicators, and any signals of leadership strain as key variables that could accelerate or delay the announcement. No constitutional trigger exists for an early vote, so the decision rests on the government’s assessment of its position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問