Trader sentiment for predictions on Keir Starmer's statements at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 16 centers on fallout from Labour's narrow welfare bill victory amid backbench rebellion over cuts to winter fuel payments and sickness benefits. Opposition leaders Kemi Badenoch and Ed Davey are poised to press Starmer on fiscal austerity and broken pledges, while Reform UK's Nigel Farage targets immigration policy. Recent conference apologies for tough choices have fueled bets on defensive phrasing like "sorry" or "difficult decisions," with market odds capturing crowd wisdom on his scripted yet combative style. Unpredictable exchanges and potential heckling add volatility ahead of this weekly Commons clash.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$33,670 Vol.
Mr Speaker 20+ times
84%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
98%
Iran 3+ times
87%
Ireland
35%
Scotland
42%
Police
56%
Abuse
33%
Reform
81%
Tory
54%
Epstein
26%
Trump
43%
$33,670 Vol.
Mr Speaker 20+ times
84%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
98%
Iran 3+ times
87%
Ireland
35%
Scotland
42%
Police
56%
Abuse
33%
Reform
81%
Tory
54%
Epstein
26%
Trump
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for predictions on Keir Starmer's statements at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 16 centers on fallout from Labour's narrow welfare bill victory amid backbench rebellion over cuts to winter fuel payments and sickness benefits. Opposition leaders Kemi Badenoch and Ed Davey are poised to press Starmer on fiscal austerity and broken pledges, while Reform UK's Nigel Farage targets immigration policy. Recent conference apologies for tough choices have fueled bets on defensive phrasing like "sorry" or "difficult decisions," with market odds capturing crowd wisdom on his scripted yet combative style. Unpredictable exchanges and potential heckling add volatility ahead of this weekly Commons clash.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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