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エコノミー·経済政策

イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？

Market icon
エコノミー·経済政策

イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？

Apr 30

Jun 18

Apr 30

Jun 18

変化なし 72%

引き上げ 26.5%

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ 1.4%

25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ 1.1%

Polymarket

$180,692 Vol.

変化なし 72%

引き上げ 26.5%

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ 1.4%

25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ 1.1%

Polymarket

$180,692 Vol.

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ

$18,996 Vol.

1%

25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ

$78,819 Vol.

1%

変化なし

$44,217 Vol.

72%

引き上げ

$38,660 Vol.

26%

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「変化なし」で72%、次いで「引き上げ」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、72¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に72%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」は$180.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「変化なし」で72%であり、市場がこの結果に72%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き上げ」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イングランド銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。