The Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries a 99.3% market-implied probability of no change, holding Bank Rate at 3.75%. This consensus stems primarily from heightened uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict's impact on energy prices, which has elevated inflation risks and prompted policymakers, including Governor Andrew Bailey, to adopt a wait-and-see stance amid recent UK economic contraction. With headline inflation at 2.8% against the 2% target, traders view the current restrictive stance as appropriate for assessing second-round effects before any adjustment. A shift toward a 25-basis-point hike remains possible only if incoming data shows persistent wage pressures or if additional MPC members join the hawkish minority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 99.3%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$292,633 Vol.
$292,633 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
<1%
変更なし
99%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
<1%
変更なし 99.3%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$292,633 Vol.
$292,633 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$56,211 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
$60,223 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$61,794 Vol.
99%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
$71,285 Vol.
1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
$43,120 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries a 99.3% market-implied probability of no change, holding Bank Rate at 3.75%. This consensus stems primarily from heightened uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict's impact on energy prices, which has elevated inflation risks and prompted policymakers, including Governor Andrew Bailey, to adopt a wait-and-see stance amid recent UK economic contraction. With headline inflation at 2.8% against the 2% target, traders view the current restrictive stance as appropriate for assessing second-round effects before any adjustment. A shift toward a 25-basis-point hike remains possible only if incoming data shows persistent wage pressures or if additional MPC members join the hawkish minority.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$292,633終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries a 99.3% market-implied probability of no change, holding Bank Rate at 3.75%. This consensus stems primarily from heightened uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict's impact on energy prices, which has elevated inflation risks and prompted policymakers, including Governor Andrew Bailey, to adopt a wait-and-see stance amid recent UK economic contraction. With headline inflation at 2.8% against the 2% target, traders view the current restrictive stance as appropriate for assessing second-round effects before any adjustment. A shift toward a 25-basis-point hike remains possible only if incoming data shows persistent wage pressures or if additional MPC members join the hawkish minority.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$292,633終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries a 99.3% market-implied probability of no change, holding Bank Rate at 3.75%. This consensus stems primarily from heightened uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict's impact on energy prices, which has elevated inflation risks and prompted policymakers, including Governor Andrew Bailey, to adopt a wait-and-see stance amid recent UK economic contraction. With headline inflation at 2.8% against the 2% target, traders view the current restrictive stance as appropriate for assessing second-round effects before any adjustment. A shift toward a 25-basis-point hike remains possible only if incoming data shows persistent wage pressures or if additional MPC members join the hawkish minority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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