Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range at 58% implied probability for the March 2026 BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks that had driven peaks above $5 in late 2025. February's BLS figure stood at $2.50, with USDA wholesale loose white large eggs falling to $1.17 per dozen by March 27 amid national laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and retail ad prices hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. This downward trajectory, easing 42% year-over-year, underpins the frontrunner, though a spring HPAI migration risk looms ahead of the resolving BLS CPI release expected mid-April. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% captures residual caution on seasonal demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
2026/04/10
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
2026/04/10
<$2.00
$103,376 Vol.
2%
$2.00–2.25
$3,913 Vol.
6%
$2.25–2.50
$10,407 Vol.
58%
$2.50–2.75
$7,149 Vol.
26%
$2.75–3.00
$19,819 Vol.
3%
$3.00–3.25
$3,485 Vol.
1%
$3.25–3.50
$46,105 Vol.
<1%
$3.50–3.75
$17,242 Vol.
2%
$3.75–4.00
$27,476 Vol.
<1%
≥$4.00
$149,318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range at 58% implied probability for the March 2026 BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks that had driven peaks above $5 in late 2025. February's BLS figure stood at $2.50, with USDA wholesale loose white large eggs falling to $1.17 per dozen by March 27 amid national laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and retail ad prices hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. This downward trajectory, easing 42% year-over-year, underpins the frontrunner, though a spring HPAI migration risk looms ahead of the resolving BLS CPI release expected mid-April. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% captures residual caution on seasonal demand.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
音量
$388,289終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range at 58% implied probability for the March 2026 BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks that had driven peaks above $5 in late 2025. February's BLS figure stood at $2.50, with USDA wholesale loose white large eggs falling to $1.17 per dozen by March 27 amid national laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and retail ad prices hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. This downward trajectory, easing 42% year-over-year, underpins the frontrunner, though a spring HPAI migration risk looms ahead of the resolving BLS CPI release expected mid-April. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% captures residual caution on seasonal demand.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
音量
$388,289終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range at 58% implied probability for the March 2026 BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks that had driven peaks above $5 in late 2025. February's BLS figure stood at $2.50, with USDA wholesale loose white large eggs falling to $1.17 per dozen by March 27 amid national laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and retail ad prices hitting a 2026 low of $1.80. This downward trajectory, easing 42% year-over-year, underpins the frontrunner, though a spring HPAI migration risk looms ahead of the resolving BLS CPI release expected mid-April. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 25.5% captures residual caution on seasonal demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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