Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to the national average retail price of a dozen grade A large eggs falling in the $2.25–2.50 range for March 2026, consolidating 83.5% of volume in $2.25–2.75 bins amid Bureau of Labor Statistics February data at $2.50 per dozen—the lowest since late 2023. This positioning reflects aggressive supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), with U.S. laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and USDA-reported advertised prices dropping to $1.80 per dozen by March 27, down over 50% from March 2025 peaks near $6.23. Wholesale benchmarks like Eggs US futures at $0.57 underscore oversupply dynamics, though spring migration risks could pressure sentiment ahead of BLS March CPI release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
マーケット開始日: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to the national average retail price of a dozen grade A large eggs falling in the $2.25–2.50 range for March 2026, consolidating 83.5% of volume in $2.25–2.75 bins amid Bureau of Labor Statistics February data at $2.50 per dozen—the lowest since late 2023. This positioning reflects aggressive supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), with U.S. laying flocks expanding to 308 million hens and USDA-reported advertised prices dropping to $1.80 per dozen by March 27, down over 50% from March 2025 peaks near $6.23. Wholesale benchmarks like Eggs US futures at $0.57 underscore oversupply dynamics, though spring migration risks could pressure sentiment ahead of BLS March CPI release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問