Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 CPI month-over-month inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on persistent price pressures following the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 upward revision to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts from 2.4% to 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, with core month-over-month at a subdued 0.2% but energy prices rebounding 0.6%, reinforcing expectations of hotter headline readings amid sticky services and base effects. Scenarios challenging this include oil market de-escalation or unexpectedly soft services data ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日0.8％以上 91%
0.7% 8%
≤0.3% <1%
0.6% <1%
$523,173 Vol.
$523,173 Vol.
2026/04/10
≤0.3%
1%
0.4%
<1%
0.5%
<1%
0.6%
1%
0.7%
8%
0.8％以上
91%
0.8％以上 91%
0.7% 8%
≤0.3% <1%
0.6% <1%
$523,173 Vol.
$523,173 Vol.
2026/04/10
≤0.3%
$202,365 Vol.
1%
0.4%
$86,791 Vol.
<1%
0.5%
$63,751 Vol.
<1%
0.6%
$46,843 Vol.
1%
0.7%
$41,132 Vol.
8%
0.8％以上
$82,290 Vol.
91%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 CPI month-over-month inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on persistent price pressures following the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 upward revision to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts from 2.4% to 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, with core month-over-month at a subdued 0.2% but energy prices rebounding 0.6%, reinforcing expectations of hotter headline readings amid sticky services and base effects. Scenarios challenging this include oil market de-escalation or unexpectedly soft services data ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
音量
$523,173終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 CPI month-over-month inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on persistent price pressures following the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 upward revision to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts from 2.4% to 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, with core month-over-month at a subdued 0.2% but energy prices rebounding 0.6%, reinforcing expectations of hotter headline readings amid sticky services and base effects. Scenarios challenging this include oil market de-escalation or unexpectedly soft services data ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$523,173終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 CPI month-over-month inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on persistent price pressures following the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 upward revision to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts from 2.4% to 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, with core month-over-month at a subdued 0.2% but energy prices rebounding 0.6%, reinforcing expectations of hotter headline readings amid sticky services and base effects. Scenarios challenging this include oil market de-escalation or unexpectedly soft services data ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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