The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive pause—amid reaccelerating inflation, with March CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024, and unemployment stable at 4.3%. Policymakers highlighted balanced risks but registered unusual dissent, reflecting debates over persistent price pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring no near-term hikes, though futures price modest risks later in 2026 if inflation endures. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data shaping policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$144,567 Vol.
2026/12/09
6月会合
1%
7月会合
6%
9月会合
16%
10月会合
16%
$144,567 Vol.
6月会合
$12,062 Vol.
1%
7月会合
$755 Vol.
6%
9月会合
$49 Vol.
16%
10月会合
$392 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive pause—amid reaccelerating inflation, with March CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024, and unemployment stable at 4.3%. Policymakers highlighted balanced risks but registered unusual dissent, reflecting debates over persistent price pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring no near-term hikes, though futures price modest risks later in 2026 if inflation endures. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data shaping policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$144,567終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive pause—amid reaccelerating inflation, with March CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024, and unemployment stable at 4.3%. Policymakers highlighted balanced risks but registered unusual dissent, reflecting debates over persistent price pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring no near-term hikes, though futures price modest risks later in 2026 if inflation endures. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data shaping policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$144,567終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive pause—amid reaccelerating inflation, with March CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024, and unemployment stable at 4.3%. Policymakers highlighted balanced risks but registered unusual dissent, reflecting debates over persistent price pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions. Market-implied paths via CME FedWatch Tool show trader consensus favoring no near-term hikes, though futures price modest risks later in 2026 if inflation endures. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data shaping policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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