The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$144,574 Vol.
2026/12/09
6月会合
1%
7月会合
6%
9月会合
17%
10月会合
16%
$144,574 Vol.
6月会合
$12,069 Vol.
1%
7月会合
$755 Vol.
6%
9月会合
$49 Vol.
17%
10月会合
$392 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$144,574終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$144,574終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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