Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 48% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting upside risks from oil price surges amid escalating Middle East tensions, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% forecast. Government fuel price caps limited the pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.2%, yet persistently above the Bank of Korea's 2% target. BOK's February outlook forecasts 2.2% CPI for the year, but upgrades like Standard Chartered's 2.4% projection and consumer inflation expectations climbing to 2.7% bolster higher-end pricing. April CPI data, due early May, precedes the next BOK policy review, potentially swaying sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3.0%以上 49%
1.5%未満 29.9%
1.8%から2.0% 15%
2.4%から2.6% 15%
$10,128 Vol.
$10,128 Vol.
1.5%未満
30%
1.5%から1.7%
17%
1.8%から2.0%
15%
2.1%〜2.3%
13%
2.4%から2.6%
15%
2.7%から2.9%
2%
3.0%以上
49%
3.0%以上 49%
1.5%未満 29.9%
1.8%から2.0% 15%
2.4%から2.6% 15%
$10,128 Vol.
$10,128 Vol.
1.5%未満
30%
1.5%から1.7%
17%
1.8%から2.0%
15%
2.1%〜2.3%
13%
2.4%から2.6%
15%
2.7%から2.9%
2%
3.0%以上
49%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 48% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting upside risks from oil price surges amid escalating Middle East tensions, despite March CPI rising modestly to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% forecast. Government fuel price caps limited the pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.2%, yet persistently above the Bank of Korea's 2% target. BOK's February outlook forecasts 2.2% CPI for the year, but upgrades like Standard Chartered's 2.4% projection and consumer inflation expectations climbing to 2.7% bolster higher-end pricing. April CPI data, due early May, precedes the next BOK policy review, potentially swaying sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問