Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, including recent Iran-related disruptions, which have prompted analysts like Standard Chartered to lift forecasts to 2.4% assuming $85 per barrel averages. February 2026 CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2.0% target, unchanged from January and below 2.1% expectations, yet the central bank raised its full-year outlook to 2.2% in late February amid robust exports and won depreciation. This fragments sentiment across mid-range buckets (1.5–2.6% at ~24% each), with trader consensus weighing sticky core pressures against potential policy tightening ahead of upcoming March CPI data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3.0%以上 30%
2.4％から2.6％ 24%
1.8％から2.0％ 24%
1.5％未満 18.0%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
2026/12/31
1.5％未満
24%
1.5％から1.7％
26%
1.8％から2.0％
24%
2.1％〜2.3％
8%
2.4％から2.6％
24%
2.7％から2.9％
4%
3.0%以上
44%
3.0%以上 30%
2.4％から2.6％ 24%
1.8％から2.0％ 24%
1.5％未満 18.0%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
2026/12/31
1.5％未満
$937 Vol.
24%
1.5％から1.7％
$942 Vol.
26%
1.8％から2.0％
$0 Vol.
24%
2.1％〜2.3％
$0 Vol.
8%
2.4％から2.6％
$0 Vol.
24%
2.7％から2.9％
$80 Vol.
4%
3.0%以上
$8,048 Vol.
44%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, including recent Iran-related disruptions, which have prompted analysts like Standard Chartered to lift forecasts to 2.4% assuming $85 per barrel averages. February 2026 CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2.0% target, unchanged from January and below 2.1% expectations, yet the central bank raised its full-year outlook to 2.2% in late February amid robust exports and won depreciation. This fragments sentiment across mid-range buckets (1.5–2.6% at ~24% each), with trader consensus weighing sticky core pressures against potential policy tightening ahead of upcoming March CPI data.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$10,007終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, including recent Iran-related disruptions, which have prompted analysts like Standard Chartered to lift forecasts to 2.4% assuming $85 per barrel averages. February 2026 CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2.0% target, unchanged from January and below 2.1% expectations, yet the central bank raised its full-year outlook to 2.2% in late February amid robust exports and won depreciation. This fragments sentiment across mid-range buckets (1.5–2.6% at ~24% each), with trader consensus weighing sticky core pressures against potential policy tightening ahead of upcoming March CPI data.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
音量
$10,007終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, including recent Iran-related disruptions, which have prompted analysts like Standard Chartered to lift forecasts to 2.4% assuming $85 per barrel averages. February 2026 CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2.0% target, unchanged from January and below 2.1% expectations, yet the central bank raised its full-year outlook to 2.2% in late February amid robust exports and won depreciation. This fragments sentiment across mid-range buckets (1.5–2.6% at ~24% each), with trader consensus weighing sticky core pressures against potential policy tightening ahead of upcoming March CPI data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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