Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,725 Vol.
2026/12/31
7.000ドル以上
75%
8.000ドル以上
60%
$9.000以上
44%
10.000ドル以上
20%
$19,725 Vol.
7.000ドル以上
$50 Vol.
75%
8.000ドル以上
$1,573 Vol.
60%
$9.000以上
$62 Vol.
44%
10.000ドル以上
$18,041 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$19,725終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$19,725終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head multi-decade low as of January 2026 and still contracting, form the core driver of elevated ground beef prices. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further, with wholesale prices projected to rise 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% year-over-year, building on 2025 gains amid drought pressures affecting over 70% of the beef cow herd. Robust consumer demand for protein despite higher retail levels near $6.70 per pound for ground beef supports the price floor, while lean trim imports help balance ground beef markets. Key upcoming factors include summer demand peaks, potential further herd liquidation, and any shifts in feed costs or export volumes that could influence the supply pipeline into 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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