The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%, with the effective rate at 3.64%, following steady policy at the March 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding forecasts—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%, and February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, signaling inflation near the Fed's 2% goal without urgency for cuts. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a flat path around 3.6% through year-end. Polymarket traders reflect this consensus, assigning low odds to sub-3.25% levels before 2027, though March CPI data due April 10 could shift rate cut expectations if softer than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,277,342 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
5%
↑ 5.0％
4%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
6%
↑ 4.25％
10%
↓ 3.25％
54%
↓ 3.0％
33%
↓ 2.75％
19%
↓2.5%
17%
↓ 2.25％
8%
↓ 2.0％
8%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
9%
↓ 1.25％
26%
↓ 1.0％
9%
↓ 0.75％
9%
↓ 0.5％
8%
↓ 0.25％
7%
↓ 0％
7%
$1,277,342 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$43,011 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5.0％
$10,055 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.75％
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$10,972 Vol.
6%
↑ 4.25％
$22,043 Vol.
10%
↓ 3.25％
$53,849 Vol.
54%
↓ 3.0％
$216,065 Vol.
33%
↓ 2.75％
$250,453 Vol.
19%
↓2.5%
$172,171 Vol.
17%
↓ 2.25％
$22,779 Vol.
8%
↓ 2.0％
$15,062 Vol.
8%
↓ 1.75％
$5,983 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.5％
$89,298 Vol.
8%
↓ 0.25％
$118,119 Vol.
7%
↓ 0％
$10,220 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%, with the effective rate at 3.64%, following steady policy at the March 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding forecasts—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%, and February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, signaling inflation near the Fed's 2% goal without urgency for cuts. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a flat path around 3.6% through year-end. Polymarket traders reflect this consensus, assigning low odds to sub-3.25% levels before 2027, though March CPI data due April 10 could shift rate cut expectations if softer than anticipated.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,277,342終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%, with the effective rate at 3.64%, following steady policy at the March 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding forecasts—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%, and February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, signaling inflation near the Fed's 2% goal without urgency for cuts. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a flat path around 3.6% through year-end. Polymarket traders reflect this consensus, assigning low odds to sub-3.25% levels before 2027, though March CPI data due April 10 could shift rate cut expectations if softer than anticipated.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,277,342終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%, with the effective rate at 3.64%, following steady policy at the March 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding forecasts—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%, and February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, with core at 2.5%, signaling inflation near the Fed's 2% goal without urgency for cuts. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a flat path around 3.6% through year-end. Polymarket traders reflect this consensus, assigning low odds to sub-3.25% levels before 2027, though March CPI data due April 10 could shift rate cut expectations if softer than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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