The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as February CPI inflation held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3% in March. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of around 3.1% by end-2027, signaling trader consensus for gradual easing amid resilient labor markets and disinflation progress. CME FedWatch implies 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, but markets price in one 2026 cut and further reductions before 2027, driven by softening wage growth and Treasury yields near 4.2% on the 10-year. Key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and Q1 GDP release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,278,601 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
5%
↑ 5.0％
3%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
5%
↑ 4.25％
9%
↓ 3.25％
65%
↓ 3.0％
34%
↓ 2.75％
19%
↓2.5%
16%
↓ 2.25％
7%
↓ 2.0％
8%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
9%
↓ 1.25％
24%
↓ 1.0％
9%
↓ 0.75％
8%
↓ 0.5％
7%
↓ 0.25％
7%
↓ 0％
8%
$1,278,601 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$43,020 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5.0％
$10,055 Vol.
3%
↑ 4.75％
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$10,972 Vol.
5%
↑ 4.25％
$22,315 Vol.
9%
↓ 3.25％
$53,849 Vol.
65%
↓ 3.0％
$216,898 Vol.
34%
↓ 2.75％
$250,453 Vol.
19%
↓2.5%
$172,194 Vol.
16%
↓ 2.25％
$22,793 Vol.
7%
↓ 2.0％
$15,062 Vol.
8%
↓ 1.75％
$6,011 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
24%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
8%
↓ 0.5％
$89,298 Vol.
7%
↓ 0.25％
$118,199 Vol.
7%
↓ 0％
$10,220 Vol.
8%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as February CPI inflation held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3% in March. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of around 3.1% by end-2027, signaling trader consensus for gradual easing amid resilient labor markets and disinflation progress. CME FedWatch implies 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, but markets price in one 2026 cut and further reductions before 2027, driven by softening wage growth and Treasury yields near 4.2% on the 10-year. Key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and Q1 GDP release.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,278,601終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as February CPI inflation held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3% in March. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of around 3.1% by end-2027, signaling trader consensus for gradual easing amid resilient labor markets and disinflation progress. CME FedWatch implies 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, but markets price in one 2026 cut and further reductions before 2027, driven by softening wage growth and Treasury yields near 4.2% on the 10-year. Key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and Q1 GDP release.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,278,601終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as February CPI inflation held steady at 2.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3% in March. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of around 3.1% by end-2027, signaling trader consensus for gradual easing amid resilient labor markets and disinflation progress. CME FedWatch implies 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, but markets price in one 2026 cut and further reductions before 2027, driven by softening wage growth and Treasury yields near 4.2% on the 10-year. Key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and Q1 GDP release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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