Eurozone GDP growth for Q2 2026 faces headwinds from the euro area's 0.2% QoQ contraction in Q1 2026 and May inflation rising to 3.2%, driven by energy price surges amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors, alongside downward revisions to full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8–1.1% by institutions such as the European Commission and S&P Global, support the market's tight clustering around the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bins as the primary outcomes. Competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over whether stabilizing consumer spending and resilient labor markets at 6.3% unemployment can offset tighter financial conditions and potential U.S. tariff impacts, while any near-term ECB policy signals or June business surveys could shift implied probabilities between these ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.4-0.7% 48%
0.8-1.1% 30%
<0.0% 29%
0.0-0.3% 12%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
<0.0%
29%
0.0-0.3%
12%
0.4-0.7%
27%
0.8-1.1%
30%
1.2-1.5%
7%
1.6-1.9%
1%
2.0%+
2%
0.4-0.7% 48%
0.8-1.1% 30%
<0.0% 29%
0.0-0.3% 12%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
<0.0%
$139 Vol.
29%
0.0-0.3%
$367 Vol.
12%
0.4-0.7%
$173 Vol.
27%
0.8-1.1%
$183 Vol.
30%
1.2-1.5%
$110 Vol.
7%
1.6-1.9%
$211 Vol.
1%
2.0%+
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth for Q2 2026 faces headwinds from the euro area's 0.2% QoQ contraction in Q1 2026 and May inflation rising to 3.2%, driven by energy price surges amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors, alongside downward revisions to full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8–1.1% by institutions such as the European Commission and S&P Global, support the market's tight clustering around the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bins as the primary outcomes. Competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over whether stabilizing consumer spending and resilient labor markets at 6.3% unemployment can offset tighter financial conditions and potential U.S. tariff impacts, while any near-term ECB policy signals or June business surveys could shift implied probabilities between these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
音量
$1,323終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth for Q2 2026 faces headwinds from the euro area's 0.2% QoQ contraction in Q1 2026 and May inflation rising to 3.2%, driven by energy price surges amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors, alongside downward revisions to full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8–1.1% by institutions such as the European Commission and S&P Global, support the market's tight clustering around the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bins as the primary outcomes. Competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over whether stabilizing consumer spending and resilient labor markets at 6.3% unemployment can offset tighter financial conditions and potential U.S. tariff impacts, while any near-term ECB policy signals or June business surveys could shift implied probabilities between these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,323終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP growth for Q2 2026 faces headwinds from the euro area's 0.2% QoQ contraction in Q1 2026 and May inflation rising to 3.2%, driven by energy price surges amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors, alongside downward revisions to full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8–1.1% by institutions such as the European Commission and S&P Global, support the market's tight clustering around the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bins as the primary outcomes. Competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over whether stabilizing consumer spending and resilient labor markets at 6.3% unemployment can offset tighter financial conditions and potential U.S. tariff impacts, while any near-term ECB policy signals or June business surveys could shift implied probabilities between these ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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