Polymarket traders price a tight race between 3.0-3.4% (39.8%) and 3.5-3.9% (35.9%) for Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI, aggregating sentiment around mid-3% amid geopolitical risks offsetting recent disinflation. February's headline CPI eased to 1.8% from 2.3%, aided by base effects and GST/HST relief, but surging gasoline prices—up over 20 cents per liter in March due to Middle East war escalation—signal an impending energy shock that could lift core measures toward 2.5%. Bank of Canada projections hold near the 2% target with policy rate steady at 2.25%, yet trader consensus diverges on oil persistence, wage dynamics, and CUSMA uncertainties. Key swing factors include upcoming March CPI (mid-April release) and April 29 Monetary Policy Report, with escalation scenarios risking 4%+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3.0〜3.4％ 39.7%
3.5〜3.9% 35.9%
2.0〜2.4％ 13%
2.5～2.9％ 13%
$15,742 Vol.
$15,742 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
7%
1.0～1.4％
<1%
1.5～1.9％
7%
2.0〜2.4％
13%
2.5～2.9％
20%
3.0〜3.4％
42%
3.5〜3.9%
36%
4.0％以上
12%
3.0〜3.4％ 39.7%
3.5〜3.9% 35.9%
2.0〜2.4％ 13%
2.5～2.9％ 13%
$15,742 Vol.
$15,742 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
$282 Vol.
7%
1.0～1.4％
$303 Vol.
<1%
1.5～1.9％
$568 Vol.
7%
2.0〜2.4％
$321 Vol.
13%
2.5～2.9％
$459 Vol.
20%
3.0〜3.4％
$13,221 Vol.
42%
3.5〜3.9%
$263 Vol.
36%
4.0％以上
$325 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a tight race between 3.0-3.4% (39.8%) and 3.5-3.9% (35.9%) for Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI, aggregating sentiment around mid-3% amid geopolitical risks offsetting recent disinflation. February's headline CPI eased to 1.8% from 2.3%, aided by base effects and GST/HST relief, but surging gasoline prices—up over 20 cents per liter in March due to Middle East war escalation—signal an impending energy shock that could lift core measures toward 2.5%. Bank of Canada projections hold near the 2% target with policy rate steady at 2.25%, yet trader consensus diverges on oil persistence, wage dynamics, and CUSMA uncertainties. Key swing factors include upcoming March CPI (mid-April release) and April 29 Monetary Policy Report, with escalation scenarios risking 4%+.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$15,742終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a tight race between 3.0-3.4% (39.8%) and 3.5-3.9% (35.9%) for Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI, aggregating sentiment around mid-3% amid geopolitical risks offsetting recent disinflation. February's headline CPI eased to 1.8% from 2.3%, aided by base effects and GST/HST relief, but surging gasoline prices—up over 20 cents per liter in March due to Middle East war escalation—signal an impending energy shock that could lift core measures toward 2.5%. Bank of Canada projections hold near the 2% target with policy rate steady at 2.25%, yet trader consensus diverges on oil persistence, wage dynamics, and CUSMA uncertainties. Key swing factors include upcoming March CPI (mid-April release) and April 29 Monetary Policy Report, with escalation scenarios risking 4%+.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
音量
$15,742終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight race between 3.0-3.4% (39.8%) and 3.5-3.9% (35.9%) for Canada's December 2026 year-over-year CPI, aggregating sentiment around mid-3% amid geopolitical risks offsetting recent disinflation. February's headline CPI eased to 1.8% from 2.3%, aided by base effects and GST/HST relief, but surging gasoline prices—up over 20 cents per liter in March due to Middle East war escalation—signal an impending energy shock that could lift core measures toward 2.5%. Bank of Canada projections hold near the 2% target with policy rate steady at 2.25%, yet trader consensus diverges on oil persistence, wage dynamics, and CUSMA uncertainties. Key swing factors include upcoming March CPI (mid-April release) and April 29 Monetary Policy Report, with escalation scenarios risking 4%+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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