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エコノミー·南アフリカ

南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年

Market icon
エコノミー·南アフリカ

南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年

4.7〜5.0％ 27%

>5.0％ 23.8%

4.4〜4.7％ 15.7%

3.8〜4.1％ 14.7%

Polymarket

$19,241 Vol.

4.7〜5.0％ 27%

>5.0％ 23.8%

4.4〜4.7％ 15.7%

3.8〜4.1％ 14.7%

Polymarket

$19,241 Vol.

2.6％未満

$0 Vol.

3%

2.6～2.9％

$0 Vol.

10%

2.9～3.2％

$0 Vol.

10%

3.2～3.5％

$0 Vol.

15%

3.5～3.8％

$428 Vol.

15%

3.8〜4.1％

$633 Vol.

15%

4.1〜4.4％

$0 Vol.

12%

4.4〜4.7％

$12,058 Vol.

16%

4.7〜5.0％

$318 Vol.

27%

>5.0％

$5,804 Vol.

24%

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders price a trader consensus implying 2026 South Africa annual CPI inflation around 4.6%, with >5.0% (25.7¢), 4.7-5.0% (23.5¢), and 4.4-4.7% (19.6%) closely contested as leading outcomes. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75% amid an upward revision to 3.7% annual average CPI forecast for 2026—up 0.4 points from prior—driven by Middle East conflict elevating oil to $78/barrel (from $65), projecting a Q2 peak near 4.3% before reverting toward 3%. Upside risks from prolonged Iran war, rand depreciation, and April electricity tariffs differentiate scenarios, outweighing February's benign 3.0% print; May MPC looms as next catalyst.

Polymarket traders price a trader consensus implying 2026 South Africa annual CPI inflation around 4.6%, with >5.0% (25.7¢), 4.7-5.0% (23.5¢), and 4.4-4.7% (19.6%) closely contested as leading outcomes. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75% amid an upward revision to 3.7% annual average CPI forecast for 2026—up 0.4 points from prior—driven by Middle East conflict elevating oil to $78/barrel (from $65), projecting a Q2 peak near 4.3% before reverting toward 3%. Upside risks from prolonged Iran war, rand depreciation, and April electricity tariffs differentiate scenarios, outweighing February's benign 3.0% print; May MPC looms as next catalyst.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders price a trader consensus implying 2026 South Africa annual CPI inflation around 4.6%, with >5.0% (25.7¢), 4.7-5.0% (23.5¢), and 4.4-4.7% (19.6%) closely contested as leading outcomes. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75% amid an upward revision to 3.7% annual average CPI forecast for 2026—up 0.4 points from prior—driven by Middle East conflict elevating oil to $78/barrel (from $65), projecting a Q2 peak near 4.3% before reverting toward 3%. Upside risks from prolonged Iran war, rand depreciation, and April electricity tariffs differentiate scenarios, outweighing February's benign 3.0% print; May MPC looms as next catalyst.

Polymarket traders price a trader consensus implying 2026 South Africa annual CPI inflation around 4.6%, with >5.0% (25.7¢), 4.7-5.0% (23.5¢), and 4.4-4.7% (19.6%) closely contested as leading outcomes. The South African Reserve Bank's March 26 MPC held the repo rate at 6.75% amid an upward revision to 3.7% annual average CPI forecast for 2026—up 0.4 points from prior—driven by Middle East conflict elevating oil to $78/barrel (from $65), projecting a Q2 peak near 4.3% before reverting toward 3%. Upside risks from prolonged Iran war, rand depreciation, and April electricity tariffs differentiate scenarios, outweighing February's benign 3.0% print; May MPC looms as next catalyst.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4.7〜5.0％」で27%、次いで「>5.0％」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年」は$19.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年」の現在のフロントランナーは「4.7〜5.0％」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「>5.0％」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「南アフリカの年間インフレ率2026年」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。