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エコノミー·グローバルレート

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

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エコノミー·グローバルレート

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

May 7

Jun 25

May 7

Jun 25

Decrease 49%

No change 49%

Increase 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease 49%

No change 49%

Increase 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease

$0 Vol.

49%

No change

$0 Vol.

49%

Increase

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's unexpected 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.63% in early March—has left trader consensus evenly split at 49.5% implied probabilities for a June hold, decrease, or increase, reflecting balanced disinflation risks against persistent price pressures. The dovish surprise, on a split board vote after February's pause, underscores caution amid sticky core inflation above the 3% target and resilient growth, while peso volatility tied to U.S. Treasury yields adds hike potential if external shocks emerge. Key differentiators include April-May inflation prints and Q2 GDP data; further cooling could favor easing (BofA sees 6% end-2026), but renewed upticks might prompt tightening, with the June 25 meeting as resolution.

Banxico's unexpected 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.63% in early March—has left trader consensus evenly split at 49.5% implied probabilities for a June hold, decrease, or increase, reflecting balanced disinflation risks against persistent price pressures. The dovish surprise, on a split board vote after February's pause, underscores caution amid sticky core inflation above the 3% target and resilient growth, while peso volatility tied to U.S. Treasury yields adds hike potential if external shocks emerge. Key differentiators include April-May inflation prints and Q2 GDP data; further cooling could favor easing (BofA sees 6% end-2026), but renewed upticks might prompt tightening, with the June 25 meeting as resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's unexpected 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.63% in early March—has left trader consensus evenly split at 49.5% implied probabilities for a June hold, decrease, or increase, reflecting balanced disinflation risks against persistent price pressures. The dovish surprise, on a split board vote after February's pause, underscores caution amid sticky core inflation above the 3% target and resilient growth, while peso volatility tied to U.S. Treasury yields adds hike potential if external shocks emerge. Key differentiators include April-May inflation prints and Q2 GDP data; further cooling could favor easing (BofA sees 6% end-2026), but renewed upticks might prompt tightening, with the June 25 meeting as resolution.

Banxico's unexpected 25 basis point policy rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.63% in early March—has left trader consensus evenly split at 49.5% implied probabilities for a June hold, decrease, or increase, reflecting balanced disinflation risks against persistent price pressures. The dovish surprise, on a split board vote after February's pause, underscores caution amid sticky core inflation above the 3% target and resilient growth, while peso volatility tied to U.S. Treasury yields adds hike potential if external shocks emerge. Key differentiators include April-May inflation prints and Q2 GDP data; further cooling could favor easing (BofA sees 6% end-2026), but renewed upticks might prompt tightening, with the June 25 meeting as resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Bank of Mexico Decision in June」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Decrease」で49%、次いで「No change」が49%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Bank of Mexico Decision in June」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Bank of Mexico Decision in June」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Bank of Mexico Decision in June」の現在のフロントランナーは「Decrease」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「No change」で49%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Bank of Mexico Decision in June」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。