Banxico traders price a 76.5% implied probability for no change at the May 9 monetary policy meeting, reflecting hotter-than-expected April CPI data released April 9—headline inflation at 4.66% year-over-year versus 4.20% consensus, with core at 4.55%—which has tempered easing expectations following March's 25 basis point cut to 11%. Persistent core price pressures, board divisions highlighted in recent meeting minutes, and the peso's relative strength against the USD amid global risk-off sentiment reinforce the pause consensus, while a 16.5% chance of decrease hinges on softer near-term indicators. Key watch: upcoming April economic activity data and U.S. Fed signals influencing cross-border rate paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日据え置き 77%
利下げ 16%
利上げ 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
利下げ
16%
据え置き
77%
利上げ
10%
据え置き 77%
利下げ 16%
利上げ 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
利下げ
$671 Vol.
16%
据え置き
$1,564 Vol.
77%
利上げ
$285 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico traders price a 76.5% implied probability for no change at the May 9 monetary policy meeting, reflecting hotter-than-expected April CPI data released April 9—headline inflation at 4.66% year-over-year versus 4.20% consensus, with core at 4.55%—which has tempered easing expectations following March's 25 basis point cut to 11%. Persistent core price pressures, board divisions highlighted in recent meeting minutes, and the peso's relative strength against the USD amid global risk-off sentiment reinforce the pause consensus, while a 16.5% chance of decrease hinges on softer near-term indicators. Key watch: upcoming April economic activity data and U.S. Fed signals influencing cross-border rate paths.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
音量
$2,520終了日
May 7, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico traders price a 76.5% implied probability for no change at the May 9 monetary policy meeting, reflecting hotter-than-expected April CPI data released April 9—headline inflation at 4.66% year-over-year versus 4.20% consensus, with core at 4.55%—which has tempered easing expectations following March's 25 basis point cut to 11%. Persistent core price pressures, board divisions highlighted in recent meeting minutes, and the peso's relative strength against the USD amid global risk-off sentiment reinforce the pause consensus, while a 16.5% chance of decrease hinges on softer near-term indicators. Key watch: upcoming April economic activity data and U.S. Fed signals influencing cross-border rate paths.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$2,520終了日
May 7, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Banxico traders price a 76.5% implied probability for no change at the May 9 monetary policy meeting, reflecting hotter-than-expected April CPI data released April 9—headline inflation at 4.66% year-over-year versus 4.20% consensus, with core at 4.55%—which has tempered easing expectations following March's 25 basis point cut to 11%. Persistent core price pressures, board divisions highlighted in recent meeting minutes, and the peso's relative strength against the USD amid global risk-off sentiment reinforce the pause consensus, while a 16.5% chance of decrease hinges on softer near-term indicators. Key watch: upcoming April economic activity data and U.S. Fed signals influencing cross-border rate paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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