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エコノミー·グローバルレート

5月のメキシコ銀行の決定

Market icon
エコノミー·グローバルレート

5月のメキシコ銀行の決定

May 7

Jun 25

May 7

Jun 25

据え置き 77%

利下げ 16%

利上げ 9.5%

Polymarket
NEW

据え置き 77%

利下げ 16%

利上げ 9.5%

Polymarket
NEW

利下げ

$671 Vol.

16%

据え置き

$1,667 Vol.

77%

利上げ

$296 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) May policy rate at 6.75%, following its surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid stubbornly elevated headline inflation reaching 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target—yet prioritizing weak economic activity with January's monthly contraction and low unemployment around 2.7%. The dovish split-vote decision, which resumed easing despite core CPI holding steady at 0.22% monthly, has tempered further cut expectations to 16.5%, as Banxico raised near-term inflation forecasts while projecting a return to target by Q2 2027. Hike odds at 9.6% remain slim, reflecting growth resilience and upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.8%; traders eye April CPI and activity data for May signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) May policy rate at 6.75%, following its surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid stubbornly elevated headline inflation reaching 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target—yet prioritizing weak economic activity with January's monthly contraction and low unemployment around 2.7%. The dovish split-vote decision, which resumed easing despite core CPI holding steady at 0.22% monthly, has tempered further cut expectations to 16.5%, as Banxico raised near-term inflation forecasts while projecting a return to target by Q2 2027. Hike odds at 9.6% remain slim, reflecting growth resilience and upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.8%; traders eye April CPI and activity data for May signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) May policy rate at 6.75%, following its surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid stubbornly elevated headline inflation reaching 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target—yet prioritizing weak economic activity with January's monthly contraction and low unemployment around 2.7%. The dovish split-vote decision, which resumed easing despite core CPI holding steady at 0.22% monthly, has tempered further cut expectations to 16.5%, as Banxico raised near-term inflation forecasts while projecting a return to target by Q2 2027. Hike odds at 9.6% remain slim, reflecting growth resilience and upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.8%; traders eye April CPI and activity data for May signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) May policy rate at 6.75%, following its surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid stubbornly elevated headline inflation reaching 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target—yet prioritizing weak economic activity with January's monthly contraction and low unemployment around 2.7%. The dovish split-vote decision, which resumed easing despite core CPI holding steady at 0.22% monthly, has tempered further cut expectations to 16.5%, as Banxico raised near-term inflation forecasts while projecting a return to target by Q2 2027. Hike odds at 9.6% remain slim, reflecting growth resilience and upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.8%; traders eye April CPI and activity data for May signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「5月のメキシコ銀行の決定」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「据え置き」で77%、次いで「利下げ」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「5月のメキシコ銀行の決定」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 6, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「5月のメキシコ銀行の決定」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月のメキシコ銀行の決定」の現在のフロントランナーは「据え置き」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「利下げ」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月のメキシコ銀行の決定」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。