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世界·グローバルレート

5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？

Market icon
世界·グローバルレート

5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？

May 5

Jun 16

May 5

Jun 16

引き上げ 65%

変更なし 35%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$20,820 Vol.

引き上げ 65%

変更なし 35%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$20,820 Vol.

引き下げ

$5,612 Vol.

1%

変更なし

$2,470 Vol.

35%

引き上げ

$12,738 Vol.

65%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate hike at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent above-target inflation and recent supply shocks driving hawkish sentiment. The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17—its second hike this year—citing sticky domestic price pressures despite February CPI easing slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%. Escalating energy costs from the late-February Middle East conflict are expected to lift March-quarter CPI toward 5%, bolstering hike odds amid a resilient labor market where February employment surged 48,900 even as unemployment ticked to 4.3%. ASX rate futures imply a similar 4.25% May cash rate, though upcoming Q1 CPI and jobs data could sway the closely contested no-change positioning at 34%.

Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate hike at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent above-target inflation and recent supply shocks driving hawkish sentiment. The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17—its second hike this year—citing sticky domestic price pressures despite February CPI easing slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%. Escalating energy costs from the late-February Middle East conflict are expected to lift March-quarter CPI toward 5%, bolstering hike odds amid a resilient labor market where February employment surged 48,900 even as unemployment ticked to 4.3%. ASX rate futures imply a similar 4.25% May cash rate, though upcoming Q1 CPI and jobs data could sway the closely contested no-change positioning at 34%.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate hike at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent above-target inflation and recent supply shocks driving hawkish sentiment. The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17—its second hike this year—citing sticky domestic price pressures despite February CPI easing slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%. Escalating energy costs from the late-February Middle East conflict are expected to lift March-quarter CPI toward 5%, bolstering hike odds amid a resilient labor market where February employment surged 48,900 even as unemployment ticked to 4.3%. ASX rate futures imply a similar 4.25% May cash rate, though upcoming Q1 CPI and jobs data could sway the closely contested no-change positioning at 34%.

Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate hike at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent above-target inflation and recent supply shocks driving hawkish sentiment. The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17—its second hike this year—citing sticky domestic price pressures despite February CPI easing slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%. Escalating energy costs from the late-February Middle East conflict are expected to lift March-quarter CPI toward 5%, bolstering hike odds amid a resilient labor market where February employment surged 48,900 even as unemployment ticked to 4.3%. ASX rate futures imply a similar 4.25% May cash rate, though upcoming Q1 CPI and jobs data could sway the closely contested no-change positioning at 34%.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「引き上げ」で65%、次いで「変更なし」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、65¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に65%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」は$20.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「引き上げ」で65%であり、市場がこの結果に65%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「変更なし」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。