Market icon
エコノミー·インフレーション

3月インフレ米国-年間

Market icon
エコノミー·インフレーション

3月インフレ米国-年間

Apr 10

Apr 10

Apr 10

Apr 10

2.8%以上 98.0%

2.7% <1%

2.6% <1%

2.0％以下 <1%

Polymarket

$2,890,028 Vol.

2.8%以上 98.0%

2.7% <1%

2.6% <1%

2.0％以下 <1%

Polymarket

$2,890,028 Vol.

2.0％以下

$157,842 Vol.

<1%

2.1%

$82,356 Vol.

<1%

2.2%

$63,404 Vol.

<1%

2.3%

$196,755 Vol.

<1%

2.4％

$170,569 Vol.

<1%

2.5％

$169,254 Vol.

<1%

2.6%

$143,452 Vol.

<1%

2.7%

$111,379 Vol.

1%

2.8%以上

$1,795,017 Vol.

98%

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI annual inflation at or above 2.8%, reflecting a sharp upward shift in expectations following February's steady 2.4% year-over-year reading amid surging energy prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions and higher commodity costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a robust 0.76% month-over-month headline CPI gain, compounded by sticky core services inflation and base effects from last year's lower readings, aligning trader sentiment with economist medians around 3.0-3.4%. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpected energy price reversals or softer-than-expected goods deflation, ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI annual inflation at or above 2.8%, reflecting a sharp upward shift in expectations following February's steady 2.4% year-over-year reading amid surging energy prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions and higher commodity costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a robust 0.76% month-over-month headline CPI gain, compounded by sticky core services inflation and base effects from last year's lower readings, aligning trader sentiment with economist medians around 3.0-3.4%. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpected energy price reversals or softer-than-expected goods deflation, ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI annual inflation at or above 2.8%, reflecting a sharp upward shift in expectations following February's steady 2.4% year-over-year reading amid surging energy prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions and higher commodity costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a robust 0.76% month-over-month headline CPI gain, compounded by sticky core services inflation and base effects from last year's lower readings, aligning trader sentiment with economist medians around 3.0-3.4%. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpected energy price reversals or softer-than-expected goods deflation, ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI annual inflation at or above 2.8%, reflecting a sharp upward shift in expectations following February's steady 2.4% year-over-year reading amid surging energy prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions and higher commodity costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a robust 0.76% month-over-month headline CPI gain, compounded by sticky core services inflation and base effects from last year's lower readings, aligning trader sentiment with economist medians around 3.0-3.4%. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpected energy price reversals or softer-than-expected goods deflation, ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月インフレ米国-年間」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2.8%以上」で98%、次いで「2.7%」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月インフレ米国-年間」は$2.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月インフレ米国-年間」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月インフレ米国-年間」の現在のフロントランナーは「2.8%以上」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2.7%」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月インフレ米国-年間」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。