Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, the highest since May 2023 and above consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.2-4.3%. Energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with ongoing tariff pass-through and shelter cost pressures, continue to elevate readings, while core measures edged higher to 2.8%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these levels, reflecting uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will moderate or persist ahead of the June 10 release. Broader factors including fiscal stimulus and labor market tightness add to the upside risks priced in by traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.4%以上 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$355,840 Vol.
$355,840 Vol.
3.3%以下
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
4.4%以上
12%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.4%以上 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$355,840 Vol.
$355,840 Vol.
3.3%以下
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
4.4%以上
12%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, the highest since May 2023 and above consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.2-4.3%. Energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with ongoing tariff pass-through and shelter cost pressures, continue to elevate readings, while core measures edged higher to 2.8%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these levels, reflecting uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will moderate or persist ahead of the June 10 release. Broader factors including fiscal stimulus and labor market tightness add to the upside risks priced in by traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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