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世界·ブラジル

4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？

Market icon
世界·ブラジル

4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？

Apr 28

Jun 16

Apr 28

Jun 16

引き下げ 78%

変更なし 21%

引き上げ 1.4%

Polymarket

$157,156 Vol.

引き下げ 78%

変更なし 21%

引き上げ 1.4%

Polymarket

$157,156 Vol.

引き上げ

$88,490 Vol.

1%

変更なし

$33,142 Vol.

21%

引き下げ

$35,524 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「引き下げ」で78%、次いで「変更なし」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」は$157.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「引き下げ」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「変更なし」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。